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We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Georgios Sermpinis , Arman Hassanniakalager , Charalampos Stasinakis , Ioannis Psaradellis

The emerging cryptocurrency market has lately received great attention for asset allocation due to its decentralization uniqueness. However, its volatility and brand new trading mode have made it challenging to devising an acceptable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Fengrui Liu , Yang Li , Baitong Li , Jiaxin Li , Huiyang Xie

In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating autonomous trading strategies that provides realistic expectations, regarding the strategy's long-term performance. This method addresses This method addresses many pitfalls that currently…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Murilo Sibrao Bernardini , Paulo Andre Lima de Castro

We propose a two-step graph learning approach for foreign exchange statistical arbitrages (FXSAs), addressing two key gaps in prior studies: the absence of graph-learning methods for foreign exchange rate prediction (FXRP) that leverage…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Yoonsik Hong , Diego Klabjan

This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Mahesh S. Khadka , K. M. George , N. Park , J. B. Kim

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

High-frequency trading requires fast data processing without information lags for precise stock price forecasting. This high-paced stock price forecasting is usually based on vectors that need to be treated as sequential and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Adamantios Ntakaris , Moncef Gabbouj , Juho Kanniainen

We analyze structure of the world foreign currency exchange (FX) market viewed as a network of interacting currencies. We analyze daily time series of FX data for a set of 63 currencies, including gold, silver and platinum. We group…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Sylwia Gworek , Stanislaw Drozdz , Andrzej Gorski

We evaluate the average waiting time between observing the price of financial markets and the next price change, especially in an on-line foreign exchange trading service for individual customers via the internet. Basic technical idea of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue

Overwhelming majority of econometric models applied on a long term basis in the financial forex market do not work sufficiently well. The reason is that transaction costs and arbitrage opportunity are not included, as this does not simulate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-23 Richard Pinčák , Erik Bartoš

In recent years, a wide range of investment models have been created using artificial intelligence. Automatic trading by artificial intelligence can expand the range of trading methods, such as by conferring the ability to operate 24 hours…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-17 Koya Ishikawa , Kazuhide Nakata

In this paper, we explore the application of Permutation Decision Trees (PDT) and strategic trailing for predicting stock market movements and executing profitable trades in the Indian stock market. We focus on high-frequency data using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Vishrut Ramraj , Nithin Nagaraj , Harikrishnan N B

In today's financial markets, quantitative trading has become an essential trading method, with the MACD indicator widely employed in quantitative trading strategies. This paper begins by screening and cleaning the dataset, establishing a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Wangyu Chen , Zhenpeng Zhu

We consider and extend the adversarial agent-based learning approach of Gy{\"o}rfi {\it et al} to the situation of zero-cost portfolio selection implemented with a quadratic approximation derived from the mutual fund separation theorems.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-08 Tim Gebbie , Fayyaaz Loonat

We present a simple hybrid dynamical model as a tool to investigate behavioral strategies based on trend following. The multiplicative symbolic dynamics are generated using a lognormal diffusion model for the at-the-money implied volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Alex Trifunovic

The primary aim of automated performance improvement is to reduce the running time of programs while maintaining (or improving on) functionality. In this paper, Genetic Programming is used to find performance improvements in regular…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-04-14 Brendan Cody-Kenny , Michael Fenton , Adrian Ronayne , Eoghan Considine , Thomas McGuire , Michael O'Neill

Starting from the characterization of the past time evolution of market prices in terms of two fundamental indicators, price velocity and price acceleration, we construct a general classification of the possible patterns characterizing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. V. Andersen , S. Gluzman , D. Sornette

In nature and human societies, the effects of homogeneous and heterogeneous characteristics on the evolution of collective behaviors are quite different from each other. It is of great importance to understand the underlying mechanisms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Fei Ren , Tian Qiu , Rong-Da Chen , Yun-Xin He , Li-Xin Zhong

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

In this note we investigate the consistency under inversion of jump diffusion processes in the Foreign Exchange (FX) market. In other terms, if the EUR/USD FX rate follows a given type of dynamics, under which conditions will USD/EUR follow…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Federico Graceffa , Damiano Brigo , Andrea Pallavicini
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