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The analysis of observed conditional distributions of both lagged and simultaneous intraday price increments of a basket of stocks reveals phenomena of dependence - induced volatility smile and kurtosis reduction. A model based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

This work gives a general approach to the determination of the asymptotic behavior of the sums of functions of primes based on the distribution of primes. It refines the estimate of the remainder term of the asymptotic expansion of the sums…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-27 Victor Volfson

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhu Li

We prove asymptotic normality for the number of fringe subtrees isomorphic to any given tree in uniformly random trees with given vertex degrees. As applications, we also prove corresponding results for random labelled trees with given…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson

This paper discusses the asymptotic behaviour of the number of descents in a random signed permutation and its inverse, which was posed as an open problem by Chatterjee and Diaconis in a recent publication. For that purpose, we generalize…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Frank Röttger

In this paper, we consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility equation with regime switching, and present some sufficient conditions for the existence of global positive solution, asymptotic boundedness in pth moment, positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-16 Yanling Zhu , Kai Wang , Yong Ren

We study in details the skew of stock option smiles, which is induced by the so-called leverage effect on the underlying -- i.e. the correlation between past returns and future square returns. This naturally explains the anomalous…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

We consider call option prices in diffusion models close to expiry, in an asymptotic regime ("moderately out of the money") that interpolates between the well-studied cases of at-the-money options and out-of-the-money fixed-strike options.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Peter Friz , Stefan Gerhold , Arpad Pinter

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Let $K_n$ be the convex hull of i.i.d. random variables distributed according to the standard normal distribution on $\R^d$. We establish variance asymptotics as $n \to \infty$ for the re-scaled intrinsic volumes and $k$-face functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Pierre Calka , J. E. Yukich

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

We consider smooth linear statistics of determinantal point processes on the complex plane, and their large scale asymptotics. We prove asymptotic normality in the finite variance case, where Soshnikov's theorem is not applicable. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Antti Haimi , José Luis Romero

This paper investigates asymptotic estimates for the entrance probability of the discounted aggregate claim vector from a multivariate renewal risk model into some rare set. We provide asymptotic results for the entrance probability on both…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Zhangting Chen , Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

How to reconcile the classical Heston model with its rough counterpart? We introduce a lifted version of the Heston model with n multi-factors, sharing the same Brownian motion but mean reverting at different speeds. Our model nests as…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Eduardo Abi Jaber

We consider three models (elliptic, flat and hyperbolic) of Gaussian random analytic functions distinguished by invariance of their zeroes distribution. Asymptotic normality is proven for smooth functionals (linear statistics) of the set of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mikhail Sodin , Boris Tsirelson
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