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When assessing risks on a finite-time horizon, the problem can often be reduced to the study of a random sequence $C(N)=(C_1,\ldots,C_N)$ of random length $N$, where $C(N)$ comes from the product of a matrix $A(N)$ of random size $N \times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Charles Tillier , Olivier Wintenberger

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

In this paper we consider a multivariate risk model with common renewal process, while the logarithmic returns of the insurers investment portfolio, are described by a Levy process. In the two main results are established an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

We study a class of lubrication-type equations modeling the spread of thin poroelastic biofilms at air/agar interfaces. Starting from a biofilm slab model, we perform a formal multi-scale asymptotic expansion to derive a reduced nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Diego Alonso-Orán , Ana Carpio , Rafael Granero-Belinchón

We introduce an affine extension of the Heston model where the instantaneous variance process contains a jump part driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha\in(1,2]$. In this framework, we examine the implied volatility and its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-06 Ying Jiao , Chunhua Ma , Simone Scotti , Chao Zhou

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

The aggregation of individual risks in large credit and insurance portfolios is guided by diversification and the law of large numbers, which formalizes the convergence of sample averages to their means. At the same time, regulatory capital…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Max Nendel

Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper we extend the work of Owen (2007) by deriving a second order expansion for the slope parameter in logistic regression, when the size of the majority class is unbounded and the minority class is finite. More precisely, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Dorian Goldman , Bo Zhang

The validity of an approximation formula for European option prices under a general stochastic volatility model is proved in the light of the Edgeworth expansion for ergodic diffusions. The asymptotic expansion is around the Black-Scholes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

We examine a class of stochastic differential inclusions involving multiscale effects designed to solve a class of generalized variational inequalities. This class of problems contains constrained convex non-smooth optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-23 D. Russell Luke , Johannes-Carl Schnebel , Mathias Staudigl , Juan Peypouquet , Siqi Qu

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

We examine the asymptotic behaviour of the sample autocovariance in a continuous-time moving average model with long-range dependence. We show that it is either asymptotically Rosenblatt distributed or stable distributed. This shows that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Felix Spangenberg

We derive a small-time expansion for out-of-the-money call options under an exponential Levy model, using the small-time expansion for the distribution function given in Figueroa-Lopez & Houdre (2009), combined with a change of num\'eraire…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-15 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , Martin Forde

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a class of small-noise diffusions driven by fractional Brownian motion, with random starting points. Different scalings allow for different asymptotic properties of the process (small-time and tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 B. Horvath , A. Jacquier , C. Lacombe

We construct uniform and point-wise asymptotic confidence sets for the single edge in an otherwise smooth image function which are based on rotated differences of two one-sided kernel estimators. Using methods from M-estimation, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Matthias Eulert , Hajo Holzmann

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Massimiliano Goldwurm , Claudio Macci , Marco Vignati , Elena Villa

In the compagnion paper [Marginal density expansions for diffusions and stochastic volatility, part I] we discussed density expansions for multidimensional diffusions $(X^1,...,X^d)$, at fixed time $T$ and projected to their first $l$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 J. D. Deuschel , P. K. Friz , A. Jacquier , S. Violante
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