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The probability distribution function for an out of equilibrium system may sometimes be approximated by a physically motivated "trial" distribution. A particularly interesting case is when a driven system (e.g., active matter) is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-27 Carlos Perez-Espigares , Alejandro B. Kolton , Jorge Kurchan

We consider a Poisson equation in $\mathbb R^d$ for the elliptic operator corresponding to an ergodic diffusion process. Optimal regularity and smoothness with respect to the parameter are obtained under mild conditions on the coefficients.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distribution $\Pi_n$ of the $n$-th element in a sequence of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a $(2+\a)$-th moment condition on the jump distributions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Victor Korolev , Igor Sokolov , Andrey Gorshenin

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

Suppose $(X_t)_{t \in T}$ is a Gaussian process indexed by some arbitrary set $T:$ the random variable $\sup_{t \in T}{X_t}$ can be very intricate and bounding its expectation is a natural step towards understanding it. Sudakov-Fernique…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Simona Diaconu

Point processes are an essential tool when we are interested in where in time or space events occur. The basic starting point for point processes is usually the Poisson process. Over the years, Stein's method has been developed with a great…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 H. L. Gan

Original paper: We revisit the probability that any two consecutive events in a Poisson process N on [0,t] are separated by a time interval which is greater than s(<t) (a particular scan statistic probability), and the closely related…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-05 Shai Covo

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We consider an array of random variables, taking values in a complete and separable metric space, that exhibits a kind of symmetry which we call row exchangeability. Given such an array, a natural model for Bayesian nonparametric inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Evan Donald , Jason Swanson

Max-stable processes are the natural analogues of the generalized extreme-value distribution for the modelling of extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions, these processes are asymptotically justified models for maxima of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-27 Raphaël Huser , A. C. Davison

We study the distribution of the 'gap time', the first time that a large gap appears, in the spatial birth and death point process on $[0,1]$ in which particles are added uniformly in space at rate $\lambda$ and are removed independently at…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Eric Foxall , Clément Soubrier

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas

A stochastically continuous process $\xi(t)$, $t\geq0$, is said to be time-stable if the sum of $n$ i.i.d. copies of $\xi$ equals in distribution to the time-scaled stochastic process $\xi(nt)$, $t\geq0$. The paper advances the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Christoph Kopp , Ilya Molchanov

We study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum interpoint distance of random points in a $d$-dimensional set with a unique diameter and a smooth boundary at the poles. Instead of investigating only a fixed number of $n$ points as $n$ tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Michael Schrempp

We consider statistical learning question for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes, that unifies a large class of weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association,$\cdots$ The consistency of the empirical risk minimization algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

The problem of making sequential decisions in unknown probabilistic environments is studied. In cycle $t$ action $y_t$ results in perception $x_t$ and reward $r_t$, where all quantities in general may depend on the complete history. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

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