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Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

The emergence of a predominant phenotype within a cell population is often triggered by a rare accumulation of DNA mutations in a single cell. For example, tumors may be initiated by a single cell in which multiple mutations cooperate to…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-21 Philip Greulich , Benjamin D. Simons

Theoretical analysis proves that human survivability is dominated by an unusual physical, rather than biological, mechanism, which yields an exact law. The law agrees with all experimental data, but, contrary to existing theories, it is the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Mark Ya. Azbel'

We consider a stochastic model for species evolution. A new species is born at rate lambda and a species dies at rate mu. A random number, sampled from a given distribution F, is associated with each new species at the time of birth. Every…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-15 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider stochastic growth models for populations organized in colonies and subject to uniform catastrophes. To assess population viability, we analyze scenarios in which individuals adopt dispersion strategies after catastrophic events.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Joan Amaya , Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Finite-size fluctuations arising in the dynamics of competing populations may have dramatic influence on their fate. As an example, in this article, we investigate a model of three species which dominate each other in a cyclic manner.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-20 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

Populations can evolve in order to adapt to external changes. The capacity to evolve and adapt makes successful treatment of infectious diseases and cancer difficult. Indeed, therapy resistance has quickly become a key challenge for global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Andrej Fischer , Ignacio Vazquez-Garcia , Ville Mustonen

Population extinction is a rare event which requires overcoming an effective barrier. We show that the extinction rate can be fragile: a small change in the system parameters leads to an exponentially strong change of the rate, with the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-13 M. Khasin , M. I. Dykman

A demographic Allee effect occurs when individual fitness, at low densities, increases with population density. Coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates, Allee effects can have subtle effects on population persistence…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Gregory Roth , Sebastian Schreiber

Let $N$ be a natural number. We consider a population which lives on $I_N=\{-N,-N+1,\dots,N-1,N\}$. Each individual gives birth at rate $\lambda$ on each of its neighboring sites and dies at rate 1. No births are allowed from the inside of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We study the interplay of population growth and evolutionary dynamics using a stochastic model based on birth and death events. In contrast to the common assumption of an independent population size, evolution can be strongly affected by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Jonas Cremer , Anna Melbinger , Erwin Frey

Using a lattice model based on Monte Carlo simulations, we study the role of the reproduction pattern on the fate of an evolving population. Each individual is under the selection pressure from the environment and random mutations. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Mingfeng He , Hongbo Ruan , Changliang Yu , Lei Yao

In evolutionary dynamics, a key measure of a mutant trait's success is the probability that it takes over the population given some initial mutant-appearance distribution. This "fixation probability" is difficult to compute in general, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-18 Alex McAvoy , Benjamin Allen

Conventional population genetics considers the evolution of a limited number of genotypes corresponding to phenotypes with different fitness. As model phenotypes, in particular RNA secondary structure, have become computationally tractable,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-04-22 Gergely J. Szollosi , Imre Derenyi

Evolutionary analyses of large populations commonly incorporate stochasticity through temporal variation in selection while treating genetic transmission as fixed. Much less attention has been given to stochasticity in transmission itself.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-24 Elisa Heinrich-Mora , Marcus Feldman

Many species live in colonies that prosper for a while and then collapse. After the collapse the colony survivors disperse randomly and found new colonies that may or may not make it depending on the new environment they find. We use birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Recently, different dispersion strategies in population models subject to geometric catastrophes have been considered as strategies to improve the chance of po\-pu\-lation's survival. Such dispersion strategies have been contrasted with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We discuss stochastic dynamics of populations of individuals playing games. Our models possess two evolutionarily stable strategies: an efficient one, where a population is in a state with the maximal payoff (fitness) and a risk-dominant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Jacek Miekisz

We study the stability of non-conservative deterministic cross diffusion models and prove that they are approximated by stochastic population models when the populations become locally large. In this model, the individuals of two species…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Vincent Bansaye , Alexandre Bertolino , Ayman Moussa