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Complex systems exhibiting critical transitions when one of their governing parameters varies are ubiquitous in nature and in engineering applications. Despite a vast literature focusing on this topic, there are few studies dealing with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-08 Giacomo Bonciolini , Dominik Ebi , Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray

Sudden transitions in the state of a system are often undesirable in natural and human-made systems. Such transitions under fast variation of system parameters are called rate-induced tipping. We experimentally demonstrate rate-induced…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-15 Induja Pavithran , P. R. Midhun , R. I. Sujith

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

A variation in the environment of a system, such as the temperature, the concentration of a chemical solution or the appearance of a magnetic field, may lead to a drift in one of the parameters. If the parameter crosses a bifurcation point,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Julia Cantisán , Serhiy Yanchuk , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán , Jürgen Kurths

Nonlinear dynamical systems subjected to a combination of noise and time-varying forcing can exhibit sudden changes, critical transitions or tipping points where large or rapid dynamic effects arise from changes in a parameter that are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-21 Peter Ashwin , Julian Newman , Raphael Römer

A dynamical system is said to undergo rate-induced tipping when it fails to track its quasi-equilibrium state due to an above-critical-rate change of system parameters. We study a prototypical model for rate-induced tipping, the saddle-node…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

Model studies indicate that many climate subsystems, especially ecosystems, may be vulnerable to 'tipping': a 'catastrophic process' in which a system, driven by gradually changing external factors, abruptly transitions (or 'collapses')…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Dock Staal , Arjen Doelman

Sudden and abrupt changes can occur in a nonlinear system within many fields of science when such a system crosses a tipping point and rapid changes of the system occur in response to slow changes in an external forcing. These can occur…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Paul D. L. Ritchie , Robbin Bastiaansen , Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin

We discuss tipping phenomena (critical transitions) in nonautonomous systems using an example of a bistable ecosystem model with environmental changes represented by time-varying parameters [Scheffer et al., Ecosystems, 11 (2008), pp.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Paul E. O'Keeffe , Sebastian Wieczorek

We discuss the nonlinear phenomena of irreversible tipping for non-autonomous systems where time-varying inputs correspond to a smooth "parameter shift" from one asymptotic value to another. We express tipping in terms of pullback…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Peter Ashwin , Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

We analyze rate-dependent tipping in a fast/slow system with an equilibrium near the fold of a critical manifiold. We find a Hopf bifurcation as the rate parameter increases in the reduced co-moving system. This implies the growth of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Jonathan Hahn

In this work, we analyse the effect of adding Gaussian white noise to the slow variable of a slow--fast system passing through a saddle--node (or fold) bifurcation. This problem is mainly motivated by applications to non-equilibrium energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Baptiste Bergeot , Nils Berglund , Israa Zogheib

The early detection of tipping points, which describe a rapid departure from a stable state, is an important theoretical and practical challenge. Tipping points are most commonly associated with the disappearance of steady-state or periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Andrew Keane , Bernd Krauskopf , Timothy M. Lenton

Slow parameter drift is common in many systems (e.g., the amount of greenhouse gases in the terrestrial atmosphere is increasing). In such situations, the attractor on which the system trajectory lies can be destroyed, and the trajectory…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-14 Takashi Nishikawa , Edward Ott

We study time-periodic forcing of spatially-extended patterns near a Turing-Hopf bifurcation point. A symmetry-based normal form analysis yields several predictions, including that (i) weak forcing near the intrinsic Hopf frequency enhances…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-05-13 C. M. Topaz , Anne J. Catlla

There is a growing awareness that catastrophic phenomena in biology and medicine can be mathematically represented in terms of saddle-node bifurcations. In particular, the term `tipping', or critical transition has in recent years entered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-29 Jeremiah Li , Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian , Sui Huang

Tipping behavior can occur when an equilibrium of a dynamical system loses stability in response to a slowly varying parameter crossing a bifurcation threshold, or where noise drives a system from one attractor to another, or some…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-26 Raphael Römer , Peter Ashwin

Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

Tipping points (TP) are often described as low-dimensional bifurcations, and are associated with early-warning signals (EWS) due to critical slowing down (CSD). CSD is an increase in amplitude and correlation of noise-induced fluctuations…

The slow drift (with speed $\eps$) of a parameter through a pitchfork bifurcation point, known as the dynamic pitchfork bifurcation, is characterized by a significant delay of the transition from the unstable to the stable state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz
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