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We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

We study a mosquito-borne epidemic model where the vector population is distinct in aquatic and adult stages and a saturating effect of disease transmission is assumed to ocurr when the number of infectious (humans and mosquitoes) becomes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-10 E. Avila-Vales , B. Buonomo , N. Chan-Chi

We show that a certain model for the spread of an infection has a phase transition in the recuperation rate. The model is as follows: There are particles or individuals of type A and type B, interpreted as healthy and infected,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Harry Kesten , Vladas Sidoravicius

A stochastic comparison result that makes progress towards understanding the classical multitype contact process with unequal death rates is given. It has long been conjectured that the particle type with the largest birth to death rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Joseph P. Stover

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

We study contact epidemic models for the spread of infective diseases in finite populations. The size dependence enters in the infection rate. The dynamics of such models is then analyzed within the deterministic approximation, as well as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Ph. Blanchard , S. Nicolis

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Steven P. Lalley

Coinfection is the process by which a host that is infected with a pathogen becomes infected by a second pathogen at a later point in time. An immunosuppressant host response to a primary disease can facilitate spreading of a subsequent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-14 Peter Mann , Anne Smith , John Mitchell , Simon Dobson

We propose a hybrid dynamical system approach to model the evolution of a pathogen that experiences different selective pressures according to a stochastic process. In every environment, the evolution of the pathogen is described by a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Peter Hinow , Jan Engelstädter

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

We investigate a model of a parasite population invading spatially distributed immobile hosts on a graph, which is a modification of the frog model. Each host has an unbreakable immunity against infection with a certain probability $1-p$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Sascha Franck

It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-06 Charanpal Dhanjal , Stéphan Clémençon

Spatial patterning can be crucially important for understanding the behavior of interacting populations. Here we investigate a simple model of parasite and host populations in which parasites are random walkers that must come into contact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 J. J. Dong , B. Skinner , N. Breecher , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Network ecology is a rising field of quantitative biology representing ecosystems as complex networks. A suitable example is parasite spreading: several parasites may be transmitted among their hosts through different mechanisms, each one…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-12 Massimo Stella , Cecilia S. Andreazzi , Sanja Selakovic , Alireza Goudarzi , Alberto Antonioni

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

In this article, we present two novel variants of the contact process. In the first variant individuals carry a viral load. An individual with viral load zero is classified as healthy and otherwise infected. If an individual becomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Marco Seiler

We study the phase transition phenomena for long-range oriented percolation and contact process. We studied a contact process in which the range of each vertex are independent, updated dynamically and given by some distribution $N$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pablo A. Gomes , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We study a stochastic process describing the onset of spreading dynamics of an epidemic in a population composed by individuals of three classes: susceptible (S), infected (I), and recovered (R). The stochastic process is defined by local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 David R. de Souza , Tânia Tomé