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Loosely speaking, the Shannon entropy rate is used to gauge a stochastic process' intrinsic randomness; the statistical complexity gives the cost of predicting the process. We calculate, for the first time, the entropy rate and statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

Mixed-effects models are widely used to model data with hierarchical grouping structures and high-cardinality categorical predictor variables. However, for high-dimensional crossed random effects, current standard computations relying on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

We consider an irreducible pure jump Markov process with rates Q=(q(x,y)) on \Lambda\cup\{0\} with \Lambda countable and 0 an absorbing state. A quasi-stationary distribution (qsd) is a probability measure \nu on \Lambda that satisfies:…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Pablo A. Ferrari , Nevena Maric

We present a method to approximate Gaussian process regression models for large datasets by considering only a subset of the data. Our approach is novel in that the size of the subset is selected on the fly during exact inference with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Simon Bartels , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen , Søren Hauberg

Let $E$ be the class of finite (resp. probability) measures absolutely continuous with respect to a $\sigma$-finite Radon measure on a Polish space. We present a criterion on the quasi-regularity of Dirichlet forms on $E$ in terms of upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang , Simon Wittmann

This paper is on developing stochastic analysis simultaneously under a general family of probability measures that are not dominated by a single probability measure. The interest in this question originates from the probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-29 H. Mete Soner , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

This brief article gives an overview of quantum mechanics as a {\em quantum probability theory}. It begins with a review of the basic operator-algebraic elements that connect probability theory with quantum probability theory. Then quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-04 Hendra I. Nurdin

An approach featuring $s$-parametrized quasiprobability distribution functions is developed for situations where a circular topology is observed. For such an approach, a suitable set of angle-angular momentum coherent states must be…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Ruzzi , M. A. Marchiolli , E. C. Silva , D. Galetti

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) which are a standard model for probabilistic systems. We focus on qualitative properties for MDPs that can express that desired behaviors of the system arise almost-surely (with probability 1) or…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin Chmelik , Przemyslaw Daca

In this article almost semi-continuous processes with stationary independent increments on a finite irreducible Markov chain are considered. For these processes the components of matrix factorization identity are concretely defined. On the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 D. V. Gusak , E. V. Karnaukh

We develop a qualitative theory of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Partially Observable MDPs that can be used to model sequential decision making tasks when only qualitative information is available. Our approach is based upon an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Blai Bonet , Judea Pearl

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

Given a matrix of distribution functions and a quasi-stochastic matrix, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue one and associated unique positive left and right eigenvectors, the article studies the properties of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We consider almost upper semi-continuous processes defined on a finite Markov chain. The distributions of the functionals associated with the exit from a finite interval are studied. We also consider some modification of these processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Ievgen Karnaukh

Iterative Krylov projection methods have become widely used for solving large-scale linear inverse problems. However, methods based on orthogonality include the computation of inner-products, which become costly when the number of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Malena Sabaté Landman , Ariana N. Brown , Julianne Chung , James G. Nagy
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