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We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We introduce the concept of an imprecise Markov semigroup \(\mathbf Q\). It is a tool that allows us to represent ambiguity around both the transition probabilities and the invariant measure of a continuous-time Markov process via a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Michele Caprio , Mengqi Chen

Triplet Markov chains are general generative models for sequential data which take into account three kinds of random variables: (noisy) observations, their associated discrete labels and latent variables which aim at strengthening the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Katherine Morales , Yohan Petetin

In this paper we consider the problem of computing the stationary distribution of nearly completely decomposable Markov processes, a well-established area in the classical theory of Markov processes with broad applications in the design,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Vasileios Kalantzis , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

The modeling and simulation of dynamical systems is a necessary step for many control approaches. Using classical, parameter-based techniques for modeling of modern systems, e.g., soft robotics or human-robot interaction, is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-01 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

We consider nonsynchronous sampling of parameterized stochastic regression models, which contain stochastic differential equations. Constructing a quasi-likelihood function, we prove that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

We construct a general procedure for the Quasi Likelihood Analysis applied to a multivariate point process on the real half line in an ergodic framework. More precisely, we assume that the stochastic intensity of the underlying model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Simon Clinet , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper focuses on optimizing probabilities of events of interest defined over general controlled discrete-time Markov processes. It is shown that the optimization over a wide class of $\omega$-regular properties can be reduced to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Ilya Tkachev , Alexandru Mereacre , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Alessandro Abate

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of stochastic processes with applications in several fields of applied mathematics spanning from mathematical modeling of physical phenomena to computational methods. A PDMP is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Andrea Bertazzi , Joris Bierkens , Paul Dobson

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for a substochastic semigroup on $L^1$ obtained through the Kato--Voigt perturbation theorem to be either stochastic or strongly stable. We show how such semigroups are related to piecewise…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Marta Tyran-Kaminska

Process mining is a well-established discipline of data analysis focused on the discovery of process models from information systems' event logs. Recently, an emerging subarea of process mining, known as stochastic process discovery, has…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Anna Kalenkova , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

We define a copula process which describes the dependencies between arbitrarily many random variables independently of their marginal distributions. As an example, we develop a stochastic volatility model, Gaussian Copula Process Volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-24 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zoubin Ghahramani

We consider the almost semi-continuous processes defined on a finite Markov chain. The representation of the moment generating functions for the absolute maximum after achievement positive level and for the recovery time are obtained.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Ievgen Karnaukh

The paper considers the integration theory for $G$-L\'evy processes with finite activity. We introduce the It\^o-L\'evy integrals, give the It\^o formula for them and establish SDE's, BSDE's and decoupled FBSDE's driven by $G$-L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Krzysztof Paczka

Using the approach of the splitting method developed by I. Gy\"ongy and N. Krylov for parabolic quasi linear equations, we study the speed of convergence for general complex-valued stochastic evolution equations. The approximation is given…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Zdzislaw Brzezniak , Annie Millet

We develop a pseudo-metric analogue of bisimulation for generalized semi-Markov processes. The kernel of this pseudo-metric corresponds to bisimulation; thus we have extended bisimulation for continuous-time probabilistic processes to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Vineet Gupta , Radha Jagadeesan , Prakash Panangaden

We consider relative model comparison for the parametric coefficients of a semiparametric ergodic L\'{e}vy driven model observed at high-frequency. Our asymptotics is based on the fully explicit two-stage Gaussian quasi-likelihood function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis