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Maximum entropy (maxEnt) inference of state probabilities using state-dependent constraints is popular in the study of complex systems. In stochastic dynamical systems, the effect of state space topology and path-dependent constraints on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Purushottam D. Dixit

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or an stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions one shows there is a canonical associated stationary Markov chain. Based upon $2-$stringing representation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Servet Martínez

Computer simulations generate trajectories at a single, well-defined thermodynamic state point. Statistical reweighting offers the means to reweight static and dynamical properties to different equilibrium state points by means of analytic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-25 Marius Bause , Timon Wittenstein , Kurt Kremer , Tristan Bereau

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

Stochastic chains represent a wide and key variety of phenomena in many branches of science within the context of Information Theory and Thermodynamics. They are typically approached by a sequence of independent events or by a memoryless…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-06 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

A lumping of a Markov chain is a coordinate-wise projection of the chain. We characterise the entropy rate preservation of a lumping of an aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space by the random growth rate of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

We analyse diffusion dynamics on weakly-coupled networks (interconnected networks) by means of separation of time scales. Using an adiabatic approximation we reduced the system dynamics to a Markov chain with aggregated variables and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-14 Grzegorz Siudem , Janusz A. Hołyst

We consider stochastic thermodynamics as a theory of statistical inference for experimentally observed fluctuating time-series. To that end, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the knowledge about the dynamical state of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Bernhard Altaner , Jürgen Vollmer

We consider the problem of selecting important nodes in a random network, where the nodes connect to each other randomly with certain transition probabilities. The node importance is characterized by the stationary probabilities of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-14 Haidong Li , Xiaoyun Xu , Yijie Peng , Chun-Hung Chen

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

In this paper we consider the convergence of the conditional entropy to the entropy rate for Markov chains. Convergence of certain statistics of long range dependent processes, such as the sample mean, is slow. It has been shown in Carpio…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

It is known that maximal entropy random walks and partition functions that count long paths on graphs tend to become localized near nodes with a high degree. Here, we revisit the simplest toy model of such a localization: a regular tree of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-22 Alexey V. Gulyaev , Mikhail V. Tamm

Under certain conditions, the dynamics of coarse-grained models of solvated proteins can be described using a Markov state model, which tracks the evolution of populations of configurations. The transition rates among states that appear in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-09-26 Margarita Colberg , Jeremy Schofield

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

We study the stochastic thermodynamics of an overdamped harmonic chain, which can be viewed equivalently as a 1D Rouse chain or as an approximate model of single file diffusion. We discuss mainly two levels of description of this system:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 David Lacoste , Michael A. Lomholt
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