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We report short-term memory formation in a nonlinear dynamical system with many degrees of freedom. The system ``remembers'' a sequence of impulses for a transient period, but it coarsens and eventually ``forgets'' nearly all of them. The…

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

A causal set is a partially ordered set on a countably infinite ground-set such that each element is above finitely many others. A natural extension of a causal set is an enumeration of its elements which respects the order. We bring…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-22 Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

It is known that in quantum theory, measurements may suppress Hamiltonian dynamics of a system. A famous example is the `Quantum Zeno Effect'. This is the phenomena that if one repeats the measurements many times asking whether the system…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-24 Kazuki Yamaga

We consider renewal processes where events, which can for instance be the zero crossings of a stochastic process, occur at random epochs of time. The intervals of time between events, $\tau_{1},\tau_{2},...$, are independent and identically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-20 Claude Godreche , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

The study of discrete-time stochastic processes on the half-line with mean drift at $x$ given by $\mu_1 (x) \to 0$ as $x \to \infty$ is known as Lamperti's problem. We give sharp almost-sure bounds for processes of this type in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

We consider a strictly stationary sequence of random vectors whose finite-dimensional distributions are jointly regularly varying with some positive index. This class of processes includes, among others, ARMA processes with regularly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch

A coagulation process is studied in a set of random masses, in which two randomly chosen masses and the smallest mass of the set multiplied by some fixed parameter $\omega\in [-1,1]$ are iteratively added. Besides masses (or primary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Róbert Juhász

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

In this paper, we deal with the asymptotic distribution of the maximum increment of a random walk with a regularly varying jump size distribution. This problem is motivated by a long-standing problem on change point detection for epidemic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Thomas Mikosch , Alfredas Račkauskas

Continuous Time Random Maxima (CTRM) are a generalization of classical extreme value theory: Instead of observing random events at regular intervals in time, the waiting times between the events are also random variables with arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-02 Katharina Hees , Hans-Peter Scheffler

This paper analyzes the limit properties of the empirical process of $\alpha$-stable random variables with long range dependence. The $\alpha$-stable random variables are constructed by non-linear transformations of bivariate sequences of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Emanuele Taufer

The higher dimensional autoregressive models would describe some of the econometric processes relatively generically if they incorporate the heterogeneity in dependence on times. This paper analyzes the stationarity of an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Varsha S. Kulkarni

Superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type (supOU) processes provide a rich class of stationary stochastic processes for which the marginal distribution and the dependence structure may be modeled independently. We show that they can also…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

Suppose $(X_t)_{t \in T}$ is a Gaussian process indexed by some arbitrary set $T:$ the random variable $\sup_{t \in T}{X_t}$ can be very intricate and bounding its expectation is a natural step towards understanding it. Sudakov-Fernique…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Simona Diaconu

Temporal evolutions toward thermal equilibria are numerically investigated in a Hamiltonian system with many degrees of freedom which has second order phase transition. Relaxation processes are studied through local order parameter, and…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Yoshiyuki Y. Yamaguchi

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

Autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving average with stable innovations modifies the power-law kernel of the fractionally integrated time series model by adding an exponential tempering factor. The tempered time series is a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Jinu Kabala , Farzad Sabzikar