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We study the algorithmic robustness of general finite Markov chains in terms of their stationary distributions to general, adversarial corruptions of the transition matrix. We show that for Markov chains admitting a spectral gap, variants…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

Highly connected recurrent neural networks often produce chaotic dynamics, meaning their precise activity is sensitive to small perturbations. What are the consequences for how such networks encode streams of temporal stimuli? On the one…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-16 Guillaume Lajoie , Kevin K Lin , Jean-Philippe Thivierge , Eric Shea-Brown

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We use an observation that is valid for convex combinations of copulas to establish sufficient conditions for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Martial Longla , Mathias Muia Nthiani , Fidel Djongreba Ndikwa

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

This study introduces a novel approach for learning mixtures of Markov chains, a critical process applicable to various fields, including healthcare and the analysis of web users. Existing research has identified a clear divide in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Fabian Spaeh , Konstantinos Sotiropoulos , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

An intrinsic branching structure within the transient random walk on a strip in a random environment is revealed. As applications, which enables us to express the hitting time explicitly, and specifies the density of the absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-06 Wenming Hong , Meijuan Zhang

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

The conventional perspective on Markov chains considers decision problems concerning the probabilities of temporal properties being satisfied by traces of visited states. However, consider the following query made of a stochastic system…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Rajab Aghamov , Christel Baier , Toghrul Karimov , Joris Nieuwveld , Joël Ouaknine , Jakob Piribauer , Mihir Vahanwala

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

The invariant measure is a fundamental object in the theory of Markov processes. In finite dimensions a Markov process is defined by transition rates of the corresponding stochastic matrix. The Markov tree theorem provides an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Artur Stephan

Markov chains are a common framework for individual-based state and time discrete models in ecology and evolution. Their use, however, is largely limited to systems with a low number of states, since the transition matrices involved pose…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-10 Katja Reichel , Valentin Bahier , Cédric Midoux , Jean-Pierre Masson , Solenn Stoeckel

This note is concerned with weakly interacting stochastic particle systems with possibly singular pairwise interactions. In this setting, we observe a connection between entropic propagation of chaos and exponential concentration bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Joe Jackson , Antonios Zitridis

Many finite-state reversible Markov chains can be naturally decomposed into "projection" and "restriction" chains. In this paper we provide bounds on the total variation mixing times of the original chain in terms of the mixing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

Consider a finite irreducible Markov chain with invariant probability $\pi$. Define its inverse communication speed as the expectation to go from x to y, when x, y are sampled independently according to $\pi$. In the discrete time setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Vivek Borkar , Laurent Miclo
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