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We are interested in the analysis of very large continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with many distinct rates. Such models arise naturally in the context of reliability analysis, e.g., of computer network performability analysis, of power…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Holger Hermanns , Ralf Wimmer , Bernd Becker

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

In this paper we consider Markov chains with transition rates that depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Under a mild assumption on the asymptotics of these transition rates, we describe the behavior of the chain at various…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

Let $(X_t)$ be a discrete time Markov chain on a general state space. It is well-known that if $(X_t)$ is aperiodic and satisfies a drift and minorization condition, then it converges to its stationary distribution $\pi$ at an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Daniel C. Jerison

Covariate shift in regression problems and the associated distribution mismatch between training and test data is a commonly encountered phenomenon in machine learning. In this paper, we extend recent results on nonparametric convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Lukas Trottner

A defective eigenvalue is well documented to be hypersensitive to data perturbations and round-off? errors, making it a formidable challenge in numerical computation particularly when the matrix is known through approximate data. This paper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Zhonggang Zeng

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

The preparation of the stationary distribution of irreducible, time-reversible Markov chains is a fundamental building block in many heuristic approaches to algorithmically hard problems. It has been conjectured that quantum analogs of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-20 Vedran Dunjko , Hans J. Briegel

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We investigate sensitivity to cumulative perturbations for a few dynamical system classes of practical interest. A system is said to have bounded sensitivity to cumulative perturbations (bounded sensitivity, for short) if an additive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Arsalan Sharifnassab , S. Jamaloddin Golestani

We study the pointwise perturbations of countable Markov maps with infinitely many inverse branches and establish the following continuity theorem: Let $T_k$ and $T$ be expanding countable Markov maps such that the inverse branches of $T_k$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Jordan , Sara Munday , Tuomas Sahlsten

We consider the problem of uniformly generating a spanning tree, of a connected undirected graph. This process is useful to compute statistics, namely for phylogenetic trees. We describe a Markov chain for producing these trees. For cycle…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Luís M. S. Russo , Andreia Sofia Teixeira , Alexandre P Francisco

Consider a finite irreducible Markov chain with invariant distribution $\pi$. We use the inner product induced by $\pi$ and the associated heat operator to simplify and generalize some results related to graph partitioning and the small-set…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Ryan O'Donnell , David Witmer

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

In this paper, we study first the problem of nonparametric estimation of the stationary density $f$ of a discrete-time Markov chain $(X_i)$. We consider a collection of projection estimators on finite dimensional linear spaces. We select an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-09 Claire Lacour

In the area of symbolic-numerical computation within computer algebra, an interesting question is how "close" a random input is to the "critical" ones, like the singular matrices in linear algebra or the polynomials with multiple roots for…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Joachim von zur Gathen , Guillermo Matera

The inverse covariance matrix provides considerable insight for understanding statistical models in the multivariate setting. In particular, when the distribution over variables is assumed to be multivariate normal, the sparsity pattern in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-20 Addison Hu , Sahand Negahban

We consider the goal of predicting how complex networks respond to chronic (press) perturbations when characterizations of their network topology and interaction strengths are associated with uncertainty. Our primary result is the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-26 David Koslicki , Mark Novak
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