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We introduce a symmetric, gradient exclusion process within the class of non-cooperative kinetically constrained lattice gases, modelling a non-linear diffusivity in which the exchange of occupation values between two neighbouring sites…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-18 G. S. Nahum

In this paper we provide new methodology for inference of the geometric features of a multivariate density in deconvolution. Our approach is based on multiscale tests to detect significant directional derivatives of the unknown density at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Konstantin Eckle , Nicolai Bissantz , Holger Dette

We propose a novel approach for density estimation with exponential families for the case when the true density may not fall within the chosen family. Our approach augments the sufficient statistics with features designed to accumulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-07 Lin Yuan , Sergey Kirshner , Robert Givan

Data sets for statistical analysis become extremely large even with some difficulty of being stored on one single machine. Even when the data can be stored in one machine, the computational cost would still be intimidating. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Ya Su

We view sequential design as a model selection problem to determine which new observation is expected to be the most informative, given the existing set of observations. For estimating a probability distribution on a bounded interval, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-19 Madhurima Nath , Stephen Eubank

Neural networks are the cornerstone of modern machine learning, yet can be difficult to interpret, give overconfident predictions and are vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide some alleviation of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 August Arnstad , Leiv Rønneberg , Geir Storvik

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

Bayesian optimization has attracted huge attention from diverse research areas in science and engineering, since it is capable of efficiently finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In general, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jungtaek Kim

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-22 Joel Veness , Martha White , Michael Bowling , András György

High-dimensional data can be useful for causal inference by providing many confounders that may bolster the plausibility of the ignorability assumption. Propensity score methods are powerful tools for causal inference, are popular in health…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Jacob Spertus , Sharon-Lise Normand

In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-31 Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We develop a non-parametric Bayesian prior for a family of random probability measures by extending the Polya tree ($PT$) prior to a joint prior for a set of probability measures $G_1,\dots,G_n$, suitable for meta-analysis with event time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Giovanni Poli , Elena Fountzilas , Apostolia-Maria Tsimeridou , Peter Müller

Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider non-parametric estimation of the density $f_0$ of its jump sizes, as well as of its intensity $\lambda_0.$ We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

A generative Bayesian model is developed for deep (multi-layer) convolutional dictionary learning. A novel probabilistic pooling operation is integrated into the deep model, yielding efficient bottom-up and top-down probabilistic learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-24 Yunchen Pu , Xin Yuan , Lawrence Carin

Despite the dominant role of deep models in machine learning, limitations persist, including overconfident predictions, susceptibility to adversarial attacks, and underestimation of variability in predictions. The Bayesian paradigm provides…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

In this paper we adopt the familiar sparse, high-dimensional linear regression model and focus on the important but often overlooked task of prediction. In particular, we consider a new empirical Bayes framework that incorporates data in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Ryan Martin , Yiqi Tang

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

P\'{o}lya trees fix partitions and use random probabilities in order to construct random probability measures. With quantile pyramids we instead fix probabilities and use random partitions. For nonparametric Bayesian inference we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker
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