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We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

We discuss Bayesian nonparametric procedures for the regression analysis of compositional responses, that is, data supported on a multivariate simplex. The procedures are based on a modified class of multivariate Bernstein polynomials and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Claudia Wehrhahn , Andrés F. Barrientos , Alejandro Jara

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

Large-scale randomized experiments, sometimes called A/B tests, are increasingly prevalent in many industries. Though such experiments are often analyzed via frequentist $t$-tests, arguably such analyses are deficient: $p$-values are hard…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-27 F. Richard Guo , James McQueen , Thomas S. Richardson

The Fourier Basis Density Model (FBM) was recently introduced as a flexible probability model for band-limited distributions, i.e. ones which are smooth in the sense of having a characteristic function with limited support around the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Alfredo De la Fuente , Saurabh Singh , Jona Ballé

Several approximate inference methods have been proposed for deep discrete latent variable models. However, non-parametric methods which have previously been successfully employed for classical sparse coding models have largely been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Arunesh Mittal , Kai Yang , Paul Sajda , John Paisley

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

We consider the estimation of densities in multiple subpopulations, where the available sample size in each subpopulation greatly varies. This problem occurs in epidemiology, for example, where different diseases may share similar…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jiaming Qiu , Xiongtao Dai , Zhengyuan Zhu

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Natural image statistics exhibit hierarchical dependencies across multiple scales. Representing such prior knowledge in non-factorial latent tree models can boost performance of image denoising, inpainting, deconvolution or reconstruction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Young Jun Ko , Matthias Seeger

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

This paper introduces a probability density estimator based on Green's function identities. A density model is constructed under the sole assumption that the probability density is differentiable. The method is implemented as a binary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-22 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock , A. Elizabeth Nuncio Quiroz

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

We study the rate of convergence of posterior distributions in density estimation problems for log-densities in periodic Sobolev classes characterized by a smoothness parameter p. The posterior expected density provides a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Catia Scricciolo

Estimating a joint Highest Posterior Density credible set for a multivariate posterior density is challenging as dimension gets larger. Credible intervals for univariate marginals are usually presented for ease of computation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Jeong Eun. Lee , Geoff K. Nicholls

We derive multiscale statistics for deconvolution in order to detect qualitative features of the unknown density. An important example covered within this framework is to test for local monotonicity on all scales simultaneously. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Axel Munk , Lutz Duembgen

A sparse Dirichlet prior is proposed for estimating the abundance vector of hyperspectral images with a nonlinear mixing model. This sparse prior is led to an unmixing procedure in a semi-supervised scenario in which exact materials are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-08 Fahime Amiri , Mohammad Hossein Kahaei

We show that rate-adaptive multivariate density estimation can be performed using Bayesian methods based on Dirichlet mixtures of normal kernels with a prior distribution on the kernel's covariance matrix parameter. We derive sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-22 Weining Shen , Surya T. Tokdar , Subhashis Ghosal

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to estimating the spectral density of a stationary time series using a prior based on a mixture of P-spline distributions. Our proposal is motivated by the B-spline Dirichlet process prior of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Patricio Maturana-Russel , Renate Meyer