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When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

In this paper, we derive the limit distribution of the least squares estimator for an AR(1) model with a non-zero intercept and a possible infinite variance. It turns out that the estimator has a quite different limit for the cases of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Qing Liu , Xiaohui Liu

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Abbas Kazemipour , Sina Miran , Piya Pal , Behtash Babadi , Min Wu

In this paper, we consider the usual linear regression model in the case where the error process is assumed strictly stationary. We use a result from Hannan, who proved a Central Limit Theorem for the usual least squares estimator under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Emmanuel Caron , Sophie Dede

We establish the asymptotic theory in quantile autoregression when the model parameter is specified with respect to moderate deviations from the unit boundary of the form (1 + c / k) with a convergence sequence that diverges at a rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Christis Katsouris

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the least square estimator in a linear regression model based on random observation instances. We provide mild assumptions on the moments and dependence structure on the randomly spaced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

We prove mixing convergence of the least squares estimator of autoregressive parameters for supercritical autoregressive processes of order 2 with Gaussian innovations having real characteristic roots with different absolute values. We use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy , Fanni Nedényi , Gyula Pap

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

We study the estimation problem for linear time-invariant (LTI) state-space models with Gaussian excitation of an unknown covariance. We provide non asymptotic lower bounds for the expected estimation error and the mean square estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar

This paper focuses on the problem of recursive nonlinear least squares parameter estimation in multi-agent networks, in which the individual agents observe sequentially over time an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

This paper considers non-negative integer-valued autoregressive processes where the autoregression parameter is close to unity. We consider the asymptotics of this `near unit root' situation. The local asymptotic structure of the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Feike C. Drost , Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

This article investigates the asymptotic distribution of penalized estimators with non-differentiable penalties designed to recover low-dimensional pattern structures. Patterns play a central role in estimation, as they reveal the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ivan Hejný , Jonas Wallin , Małgorzata Bogdan

This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the harmonic regression with cyclically dependent errors is addressed. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimates are analyzed by simulation experiments. By numerical simulation, we…

In this paper, we consider the usual linear regression model in the case where the error process is assumed strictly stationary. We use a result from Hannan (1973), who proved a Central Limit Theorem for the usual least square estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Emmanuel Caron

We study the least square estimator, in the framework of simple linear regression, when the deviance term $\varepsilon$ with respect to the linear model is modeled by a uniform distribution. In particular, we give the law of this estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-09 M Jlibene , S Taoufik , S Benjelloun

We consider a finite impulse response system with centered independent sub-Gaussian design covariates and noise components that are not necessarily identically distributed. We derive non-asymptotic near-optimal estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas