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Limit theory for an AR(1) model with intercept and a possible infinite variance

Statistics Theory 2018-03-01 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper, we derive the limit distribution of the least squares estimator for an AR(1) model with a non-zero intercept and a possible infinite variance. It turns out that the estimator has a quite different limit for the cases of ρ<1|\rho| < 1, ρ>1|\rho| > 1, and ρ=1+cnα\rho = 1 + \frac{c}{n^\alpha} for some constant cRc \in R and α(0,1]\alpha \in (0, 1], and whether or not the variance of the model errors is infinite also has a great impact on both the convergence rate and the limit distribution of the estimator.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1802.10299,
  title  = {Limit theory for an AR(1) model with intercept and a possible infinite variance},
  author = {Qing Liu and Xiaohui Liu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1802.10299},
  year   = {2018}
}

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21pages