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We derive universal thermodynamic inequalities that bound from below the moments of first-passage times of stochastic currents in nonequilibrium stationary states of Markov jump processes in the limit where the thresholds that define the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-03 Izaak Neri

We derive inequalities for time-discrete and time-continuous martingales that are similar to the well-known Burkholder inequalities. For the time-discrete case arbitrary martingales in $L^p(\Omega)$ are treated, whereas in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Jan Pleis , Andreas Rößler

In this paper, we introduce a class of processes that contains many natural examples. The interesting feature of such type processes lays on its infinite memory that allows it to record a quite ancient history. Then, using the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

We propose a discrete time formulation of the semi martingale optimal transport problembased on multi-marginal entropic transport. This approach offers a new way to formulate and solve numerically the calibration problem proposed by Guo et…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Jean-David Benamou , Guillaume Chazareix , Grégoire Loeper

We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Akshay Balsubramani

Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

{Consider a c\`adl\`ag local martingale $M$ with square brackets $[M]$. In this paper, we provide upper and lower bounds for expectations of the type ${\mathbb E} [M]^{q/2}_{\tau}$, for any stopping time $\tau$ and $q\ge 2$, in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Saul Jacka , Ma. Elena Hérnandez-Hérnandez

We study the optimal transport between two probability measures on the real line, where the transport plans are laws of one-step martingales. A quasi-sure formulation of the dual problem is introduced and shown to yield a complete duality…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Mathias Beiglböck , Marcel Nutz , Nizar Touzi

In recent years, a number of functional inequalities have been derived for Poisson random measures, with a wide range of applications. In this paper, we prove that such inequalities can be extended to the setting of marked temporal point…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Ian Flint , Nicolas Privault , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

We develop almost-orthogonality principles for maximal functions associated with averages over line segments and directional singular integrals. Using them, we obtain sharp $L^2$-bounds for these maximal functions when the underlying…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Jongchon Kim

We generalize a famous tail Doob's inequality, relative two non-negative random variables, arising in the martingale theory, in two directions: on the more general source data and on the random variables belonging to the so-called Grand…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-03 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The purpose of the paper is to establish weighted maximal $L_p$-inequalities in the context of operator-valued martingales on semifinite von Neumann algebras. The main emphasis is put on the optimal dependence of the $L_p$ constants on the…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Tomasz Gałązka , Yong Jiao , Adam Osękowski , Lian Wu

The matrix Markov inequality by Ahlswede was stated using the Loewner anti-order between positive definite matrices. Wang use this to derive several other Chebyshev and Chernoff-type inequalities (Hoeffding, Bernstein, empirical Bernstein)…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Reihaneh Malekian , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a discrete time formulation of the semi-martingale optimal transport problem based on multi-marginal entropic transport. This approach offers a new way to formulate and solve numerically the calibration problem proposed by [17],…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Jean-David Benamou , Guillaume Chazareix , Grégoire Loeper

This paper introduces a framework for estimating fair optimal predictions using machine learning where the notion of fairness can be quantified using path-specific causal effects. We use a recently developed approach based on Lagrange…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

Monotone processes, just like martingales, can often be recovered from their final values. Examples include running maxima of supermartingales, as well as running maxima, local times, and various integral functionals of sticky processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Martin Larsson

In this note, we improve some concentration inequalities for martingales with bounded increments. These results recover the missing factor in Freedman-style inequalities and are near optimal. We also provide minor refinements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Dainius Dzindzalieta

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon