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The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

Consider the extreme value of a Bernoulli random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice, with reflection at 0, over a finite discrete time interval. Only the asymmetric (biased) case is discussed. Asymptotic mean/variance results are…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Steven R. Finch

In this paper we establish new optimal bounds for the derivative of some discrete maximal functions, both in the centered and uncentered versions. In particular, we solve a question originally posed by Bober, Carneiro, Hughes and Pierce.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-12-15 José Madrid

First-order methods are often analyzed via their continuous-time models, where their worst-case convergence properties are usually approached via Lyapunov functions. In this work, we provide a systematic and principled approach to find and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Céline Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

We develop a new framework for deriving time-uniform concentration bounds for the output of stochastic sequential algorithms satisfying certain recursive inequalities akin to those defining the almost-supermartingale processes introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Tuan Pham , Alessandro Rinaldo , Purnamrita Sarkar

We consider a variant of the continuous and discrete Ulam-Hammersley problems: we study the maximal length of an increasing path through a Poisson point process (or a Bernoulli point process) with the restriction that there must be minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Lucas Gerin

The classical Prophet Inequality arises from a fundamental problem in optimal-stopping theory. In this problem, a gambler sees a finite sequence of independent, non-negative random variables. If he stops the sequence at any time, he…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Van-Anh Truong , Xinshang Wang

Substantial progress has recently been made in the understanding of the cutoff phenomenon for Markov processes, using an information-theoretic statistics known as varentropy [Sal23; Sal24; Sal25a; PS25]. In the present paper, we propose an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Francesco Pedrotti , Justin Salez

We introduce an extension of the Optimal Transport problem when multiple costs are involved. Considering each cost as an agent, we aim to share equally between agents the work of transporting one distribution to another. To do so, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Jamal Atif , Marco Cuturi

Maximality, interval dominance, and E-admissibility are three well-known criteria for decision making under severe uncertainty using lower previsions. We present a new fast algorithm for finding maximal gambles. We compare its performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Nawapon Nakharutai , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Camila C. S. Caiado

For any quantity of interest in a system governed by ordinary differential equations, it is natural to seek the largest (or smallest) long-time average among solution trajectories, as well as the extremal trajectories themselves. Upper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Ian Tobasco , David Goluskin , Charles R. Doering

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$ and $\tilde Z_n(t)=\int…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Xiaoqiang Wang , Chunmao Huang

We provide sharp bounds for the exponential moments and $p$-moments, $1\leqslant p \leqslant 2$, of the terminate distribution of a martingale whose square function is uniformly bounded by one. We introduce a Bellman function for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Dmitriy Stolyarov , Vasily Vasyunin , Pavel Zatitskiy , Ilya Zlotnikov

We develop a numerical method for the martingale analogue of the Benamou--Brenier optimal transport problem, which seeks a martingale interpolating two prescribed marginals which is closest to the Brownian motion. Recent contributions have…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Manuel Hasenbichler , Benjamin Joseph , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj , Gudmund Pammer

We prove several noncommutative maximal inequalities associated with convex functions, including a Doob type inequality for a convex function of maximal operators on noncommutative martingales, noncommutative Dunford-Schwartz and Stein…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2014-12-31 Turdebek N. Bekjan , Zeqian Chen , Adam Osȩkowski

We consider the problem of finding consistent upper price bounds and super replication strategies for exotic options, given the observation of call prices in the market. This field of research is called model-independent finance and has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-31 Nicole Bäuerle , Daniel Schmithals

We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen

In this paper we propose a general algorithmic framework for first-order methods in optimization in a broad sense, including minimization problems, saddle-point problems and variational inequalities. This framework allows to obtain many…

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia
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