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Consider a sequence of bits where we are trying to predict the next bit from the previous bits. Assume we are allowed to say 'predict 0' or 'predict 1', and our payoff is +1 if the prediction is correct and -1 otherwise. We will say that at…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-10-11 Michael Kapralov , Rina Panigrahy

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

We investigate the problem of cumulative regret minimization for individual sequence prediction with respect to the best expert in a finite family of size K under limited access to information. We assume that in each round, the learner can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-06 El Mehdi Saad , G. Blanchard

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. We consider the finite-horizon version of this zero-sum, two-person game. Using verification arguments from optimal control theory, we view…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

To deal with changing environments, a new performance measure -- adaptive regret, defined as the maximum static regret over any interval, was proposed in online learning. Under the setting of online convex optimization, several algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Lijun Zhang , Wenhao Yang , Guanghui Wang , Wei Jiang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We develop a novel and generic algorithm for the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem (or more generally the combinatorial semi-bandit problem). When instantiated differently, our algorithm achieves various new data-dependent regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Chen-Yu Wei , Haipeng Luo

We consider online learning when the time horizon is unknown. We apply a minimax analysis, beginning with the fixed horizon case, and then moving on to two unknown-horizon settings, one that assumes the horizon is chosen randomly according…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Haipeng Luo , Robert E. Schapire

Top Two algorithms arose as an adaptation of Thompson sampling to best arm identification in multi-armed bandit models (Russo, 2016), for parametric families of arms. They select the next arm to sample from by randomizing among two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-05 Marc Jourdan , Rémy Degenne , Dorian Baudry , Rianne de Heide , Emilie Kaufmann

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

We study the problem of online unweighted bipartite matching with $n$ offline vertices and $n$ online vertices where one wishes to be competitive against the optimal offline algorithm. While the classic RANKING algorithm of Karp et al.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Davin Choo , Themis Gouleakis , Chun Kai Ling , Arnab Bhattacharyya

We present a new anytime algorithm that achieves near-optimal regret for any instance of finite stochastic partial monitoring. In particular, the new algorithm achieves the minimax regret, within logarithmic factors, for both "easy" and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Gabor Bartok , Navid Zolghadr , Csaba Szepesvari

We revisit the problem of online learning with sleeping experts/bandits: in each time step, only a subset of the actions are available for the algorithm to choose from (and learn about). The work of Kleinberg et al. (2010) showed that there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Ehsan Emamjomeh-Zadeh , Chen-Yu Wei , Haipeng Luo , David Kempe

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiashuo Jiang

We study the problem of nonstochastic bandits with expert advice, extending the setting from finitely many experts to any countably infinite set: A learner aims to maximize the total reward by taking actions sequentially based on bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 X. Flora Meng , Tuhin Sarkar , Munther A. Dahleh

Maximum consensus estimation plays a critically important role in robust fitting problems in computer vision. Currently, the most prevalent algorithms for consensus maximization draw from the class of randomized hypothesize-and-verify…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Huu Le , Tat-Jun Chin , Anders Eriksson , Thanh-Toan Do , David Suter

For each of $T$ time steps, $m$ experts report probability distributions over $n$ outcomes; we wish to learn to aggregate these forecasts in a way that attains a no-regret guarantee. We focus on the fundamental and practical aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

We study the $K$-armed dueling bandit problem, a variation of the standard stochastic bandit problem where the feedback is limited to relative comparisons of a pair of arms. We introduce a tight asymptotic regret lower bound that is based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-30 Junpei Komiyama , Junya Honda , Hisashi Kashima , Hiroshi Nakagawa

When an algorithm provides risk assessments, we typically think of them as helpful inputs to human decisions, such as when risk scores are presented to judges or doctors. However, a decision-maker may react not only to the information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bryce McLaughlin , Jann Spiess

In online learning an algorithm plays against an environment with losses possibly picked by an adversary at each round. The generality of this framework includes problems that are not adversarial, for example offline optimization, or saddle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Ryan D'Orazio , Ruitong Huang

In this work, we aim to create a completely online algorithmic framework for prediction with expert advice that is translation-free and scale-free of the expert losses. Our goal is to create a generalized algorithm that is suitable for use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu