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Biologically inspired strategies have long been adapted to swarm robotic systems, including biased random walks, reaction to chemotactic cues and long-range coordination. In this paper we apply analysis tools developed for modeling…

Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average (VARMA) models form a powerful and general model class for analyzing dynamics among multiple time series. While VARMA models encompass the Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models, their popularity in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Marie-Christine Düker , David S. Matteson , Ruey S. Tsay , Ines Wilms

The collective risk model (CRM) for frequency and severity is an important tool for retail insurance ratemaking, macro-level catastrophic risk forecasting, as well as operational risk in banking regulation. This model, which is initially…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Jae Youn Ahn , Himchan Jeong , Yang Lu

We develop an approach to Malliavin calculus for L\'evy processes from the perspective of expressing a random variable $Y$ by a functional $F$ mapping from the Skorohod space of c\`adl\`ag functions to $\mathbb{R}$, such that $Y=F(X)$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Alexander Steinicke

We propose a novel and efficient iterative two-stage variable selection approach for multivariate sparse GLARMA models, which can be used for modelling multivariate discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-01 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet , C. Bailly , L. Rajjou

We derive a Dickman approximation for the small jumps of a large class of multivariate L\'evy processes. We then apply this approximation to develop a simulation method for the class of general multivariate gamma distributions (GMGD). A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Michael Grabchak , Xingnan Zhang

The prediction interval is gaining prominence in meta-analysis as it enables the assessment of uncertainties in treatment effects and heterogeneity between studies. However, coverage probabilities of the current standard method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Kengo Nagashima , Hisashi Noma , Toshi A. Furukawa

A new method for combining several initial estimators of the regression function is introduced. Instead of building a linear or convex optimized combination over a collection of basic estimators $r_1,\dots,r_M$, we use them as a collective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Gérard Biau , Aurélie Fischer , Benjamin Guedj , James Malley

Generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models are a class of observation-driven time series models that employ the score to dynamically update time-varying parameters of the underlying probability distribution. GAS models have been…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-09 Vladimír Holý

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

In this paper we propose and advocate the use of the so called L\'evy flights as a driving mechanism for a class of stochastic optimization computations. This proposal, for some reasons overlooked until now, is - in author's opinion - very…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marek Gutowski

IntLevPy provides a comprehensive description of the IntLevPy Package, a Python library designed for simulating and analyzing intermittent and L\'evy processes. The package includes functionalities for process simulation, including full…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Shailendra Bhandari , Pedro Lencastre , Sergiy Denysov , Yurii Bystryk , Pedro G. Lind

We present a new package in R implementing Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The package introduces many new features for data analysis using BART such as variable selection, interaction detection, model diagnostic plots,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-25 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich

Continuum Approximation (CA) is an efficient and parsimonious technique for modeling complex logistics problems. In this paper,we review recent studies that develop CA models for transportation, distribution and logistics problems with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Sina Ansari , Mehmet Basdere , Xiaopeng Li , Yanfeng Ouyang , Karen Smilowitz

The Jaya R package offers a robust and versatile implementation of the parameter-free Jaya optimization algorithm, suitable for solving both single-objective and multi-objective optimization problems. By integrating advanced features such…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde

We consider a mixed moving average (MMA) process X driven by a L\'evy basis and prove that it is weakly dependent with rates computable in terms of the moving average kernel and the characteristic quadruple of the L\'evy basis. Using this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Imma Valentina Curato , Robert Stelzer

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important class of models for the analysis of longitudinal data (Bartolucci et. al., 2013), especially when response variables are categorical. These models have a great potential of application for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-20 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

This paper investigates a cooperative motion planning problem for large-scale connected autonomous vehicles (CAVs) under limited communications, which addresses the challenges of high communication and computing resource requirements. Our…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Haichao Liu , Zhenmin Huang , Zicheng Zhu , Yulin Li , Shaojie Shen , Jun Ma

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres