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Producing probabilistic guarantee for several steps of a predicted signal follow a temporal logic defined behavior has its rising importance in monitoring. In this paper, we derive a method to compute the joint probability distribution of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Xin Qin , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Raftery, Karny, and Ettler (2010) introduce an estimation technique, which they refer to as Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA). In their application, DMA is used to predict the output strip thickness for a cold rolling mill, where the output is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-18 Leopoldo Catania , Nima Nonejad

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

In this paper we present CARMA, a language recently defined to support specification and analysis of collective adaptive systems. CARMA is a stochastic process algebra equipped with linguistic constructs specifically developed for modelling…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Luca Bortolussi , Rocco De Nicola , Vashti Galpin , Stephen Gilmore , Jane Hillston , Diego Latella , Michele Loreti , Mieke Massink

A transformation relation between multivariate ARMA and CARMA processes is derived through a discretization procedure. This gives a direct relationship between the discrete time and continuous time analogues, serving as the basis for an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Mari Dahl Eggen

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper we show how to simulate and estimate a COGARCH(p,q) model in the R package yuima. Several routines for simulation and estimation are available. Indeed for the generation of a COGARCH(p,q) trajectory, the user can choose…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-18 Stefano M. Iacus , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet , Thomas Blein

This contribution presents a guide to the R package multilevLCA, which offers a complete and innovative set of technical tools for the latent class analysis of single-level and multilevel categorical data. We describe the available model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Johan Lyrvall , Roberto Di Mari , Zsuzsa Bakk , Jennifer Oser , Jouni Kuha

Transformed Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average (TGARMA) models were recently proposed to deal with non-additivity, non-normality and heteroscedasticity in real time series data. In this paper, a Bayesian approach is proposed for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-02 Breno S. Andrade , Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers

This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

BACKGROUND: Random-effects meta-analysis within a hierarchical normal modeling framework is commonly implemented in a wide range of evidence synthesis applications. More general problems may even be tackled when considering meta-regression…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-27 Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Traffic simulation is an efficient and cost-effective way to test Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) in a complex and dynamic environment. Numerous studies have been conducted for AV evaluation using traffic simulation over the past decades.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Pei Li , Arpan Kusari , David J. LeBlanc

We propose a new model-based computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) system for tumor detection and classification (cancerous v.s. benign) in breast images. Specifically, we show that (x-ray, ultrasound and MRI) images can be accurately modeled by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-22 Nidhal Bouaynaya , Jerzy Zielinski , Dan Schonfeld

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

This paper presents GAMMA, a general motion prediction model that enables large-scale real-time simulation and planning for autonomous driving. GAMMA models heterogeneous, interactive traffic agents. They operate under diverse road…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Yuanfu Luo , Panpan Cai , Yiyuan Lee , David Hsu

An R package for specifying and estimating linear latent variable models is presented. The philosophy of the implementation is to separate the model specification from the actual data, which leads to a dynamic and easy way of modeling…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-10 Klaus K. Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen

The R package lcmm provides a series of functions to estimate statistical models based on linear mixed model theory. It includes the estimation of mixed models and latent class mixed models for Gaussian longitudinal outcomes (hlme),…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-24 Cécile Proust-Lima , Viviane Philipps , Benoit Liquet

This article describes lcpy, an open-source python package that allows for advanced parametric Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) and Life Cycle Costing (LCC) analysis. The package is designed to allow the user to model a process with a flexible,…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Spiros Gkousis , Evina Katsou