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Related papers: On the asymptotics of random forests

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We consider the biased random walk on a tree constructed from the set of finite self-avoiding walks on a lattice, and use it to construct probability measures on infinite self-avoiding walks. The limit measure (if it exists) obtained when…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Vincent Beffara , Cong Bang Huynh

We give new general formulas for the asymptotics of the number of spanning trees of a large graph. A special case answers a question of McKay (1983) for regular graphs. The general answer involves a quantity for infinite graphs that we call…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-04-27 Russell Lyons

Predictions of fatalities from violent conflict on the PRIO-GRID-month (pgm) level are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, limiting their usefulness in practical applications. We discuss the two main sources of uncertainty for this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-13 Daniel Mittermaier , Tobias Bohne , Martin Hofer , Daniel Racek

This paper is a variation on the uniform spanning tree theme. We use random spanning forests to solve the following problem: for a Markov process on a finite set of size $n$, find a probability law on the subsets of any given size $m \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Luca Avena , Alexandre Gaudillière

We extend a recent synchronization analysis of exact finite-state sources to nonexact sources for which synchronization occurs only asymptotically. Although the proof methods are quite different, the primary results remain the same. We find…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-20 Nicholas F. Travers , James P. Crutchfield

Random forests have become an important tool for improving accuracy in regression and classification problems since their inception by Leo Breiman in 2001. In this paper, we revisit a historically important random forest model originally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Jason M. Klusowski

This paper shows that decision trees constructed with Classification and Regression Trees (CART) and C4.5 methodology are consistent for regression and classification tasks, even when the number of predictor variables grows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Frederik Gossen , Bernhard Steffen

We present Neural Random Forest Imitation - a novel approach for transforming random forests into neural networks. Existing methods propose a direct mapping and produce very inefficient architectures. In this work, we introduce an imitation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Christoph Reinders , Bodo Rosenhahn

Motivated by online recommendation systems, we study a family of random forests. The vertices of the forest are labeled by integers. Each non-positive integer $i\le 0$ is the root of a tree. Vertices labeled by positive integers $n \ge 1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Nicolas Broutin , Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Researchers often hold the belief that random forests are "the cure to the world's ills" (Bickel, 2010). But how exactly do they achieve this? Focused on the recently introduced causal forests (Athey and Imbens, 2016; Wager and Athey,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Yiyi Huo , Yingying Fan , Fang Han

We prove asymptotic normality for the number of fringe subtrees isomorphic to any given tree in uniformly random trees with given vertex degrees. As applications, we also prove corresponding results for random labelled trees with given…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson

On a finite graph, there is a natural family of Boltzmann probability measures on cycle-rooted spanning forests, parametrized by weights on cycles. For a certain subclass of those weights, we construct Gibbs measures in infinite volume, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Héloïse Constantin

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

Quantifying the usefulness of individual features in random forests learning can greatly enhance its interpretability. Existing studies have shown that some popularly used feature importance measures for random forests suffer from the bias…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Chien-Ming Chi , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

In this paper, error estimates of classification Random Forests are quantitatively assessed. Based on the initial theoretical framework built by Bates et al. (2023), the true error rate and expected error rate are theoretically and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-09 Ian Krupkin , Johanna Hardin

We study the influence of the seed in random trees grown according to the uniform attachment model, also known as uniform random recursive trees. We show that different seeds lead to different distributions of limiting trees from a total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Sébastien Bubeck , Ronen Eldan , Elchanan Mossel , Miklós Z. Rácz

Random forests are classical ensemble algorithms that construct multiple randomized decision trees and aggregate their predictions using naive averaging. \citet{zhou2019deep} further propose a deep forest algorithm with multi-layer forests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Shen-Huan Lyu , Jin-Hui Wu , Qin-Cheng Zheng , Baoliu Ye
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