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Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We present convincing empirical evidence for an effective and general strategy for building accurate small models. Such models are attractive for interpretability and also find use in resource-constrained environments. The strategy is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Abhishek Ghose

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

We consider stochastic processes with (or without) memory whose evolution is encoded by a finite or infinite rooted tree. The main goal is to compare the entropy rates of a given base process and a second one, to be considered as a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Thomas Hirschler , Wolfgang Woess

We consider Gibbs distributions on finite random plane trees with bounded branching. We show that as the order of the tree grows to infinity, the distribution of any finite neighborhood of the root of the tree converges to a limit. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Yuri Bakhtin

We study the asymptotic distribution of integers sharing the same rooted-tree structure that encodes their complete prime factorization tower. For each tree we derive an explicit density formula depending only on a pair $(m,k)$, the density…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Roberto Conti , Pierluigi Contucci , Vitalii Iudelevich

In some estimation problems, especially in applications dealing with information theory, signal processing and biology, theory provides us with additional information allowing us to restrict the parameter space to a finite number of points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-25 Christine Choirat , Raffaello Seri

We introduce a random forest approach to enable spreads' prediction in the primary catastrophe bond market. We investigate whether all information provided to investors in the offering circular prior to a new issuance is equally important…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-29 Despoina Makariou , Pauline Barrieu , Yining Chen

We obtain assumption-free, non-asymptotic, uniform bounds on the product of the height and the width of uniformly random trees with a given degree sequence, conditioned Bienaym\'e trees and simply generated trees. We show that for a tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Serte Donderwinkel , Robin Khanfir

This paper presents a brand new nonparametric density estimation strategy named the best-scored random forest density estimation whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Hanyuan Hang , Hongwei Wen

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the main characteristics of the mean-variance efficient frontier employing random matrix theory. Our particular interest covers the case when the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Taras Bodnar , Nikolaus Hautsch , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

Existing guarantees in terms of rigorous upper bounds on the generalization error for the original random forest algorithm, one of the most frequently used machine learning methods, are unsatisfying. We discuss and evaluate various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Stephan Sloth Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

The theorem of factorisation forests shows the existence of nested factorisations -- a la Ramsey -- for finite words. This theorem has important applications in semigroup theory, and beyond. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Thomas Colcombet

There is a well-known correspondence between infinite trees and ultrametric spaces which can be interpreted as an equivalence of categories and comes from considering the end space of the tree. In this equivalence, uniformly continuous maps…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Álvaro Martínez Pérez , M. A. Morón

Tree ensemble methods such as random forests [Breiman, 2001] are very popular to handle high-dimensional tabular data sets, notably because of their good predictive accuracy. However, when machine learning is used for decision-making…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Erwan Scornet

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

We develop a general statistical framework for the analysis and inference of large tree-structured data, with a focus on developing asymptotic goodness-of-fit tests. We first propose a consistent statistical model for binary trees, from…

We discuss a notion of convergence for binary trees that is based on subtree sizes. In analogy to recent developments in the theory of graphs, posets and permutations we investigate some general aspects of the topology, such as a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Rudolf Grübel

Information-theoretic quantities, such as conditional entropy and mutual information, are critical data summaries for quantifying uncertainty. Current widely used approaches for computing such quantities rely on nearest neighbor methods and…

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