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We present a new modeling technique for solving the problem of ecological inference, in which individual-level associations are inferred from labeled data available only at the aggregate level. We model aggregate count data as arising from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-06 Evan Rosenman , Nitin Viswanathan

We prove two theorems related to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for Martin-L\"of Random (MLR) sequences. Martin-L\"of randomness attempts to capture what it means for a sequence of bits to be "truly random". By contrast, CLTs do not make…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Anton Vuerinckx , Yves Moreau

We show how a central limit theorem for Poisson model random polygons implies a central limit theorem for uniform model random polygons. To prove this implication, it suffices to show that in the two models, the variables in question have…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-14 John Pardon

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

The blessing of ubiquitous data also comes with a curse: the communication, storage, and labeling of massive, mostly redundant datasets. We seek to solve this problem at its core, collecting only valuable data and throwing out the rest via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Mariel Werner , Anastasios Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Michael I. Jordan

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

Consider a large number of detectors each generating a data stream. The task is to detect online, distribution changes in a small fraction of the data streams. Previous approaches to this problem include the use of mixture likelihood ratios…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Hock Peng Chan

This note considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent and identically distributed. Consider $X_1,\dots,X_n$ to be an independent sequence of random variables, let…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 José A. Islas

This paper studies the problem of finding the median of N distinct numbers distributed across networked agents. Each agent updates its estimate for the median from noisy local observations of one of the N numbers and information from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Shuhua Yu , Yuan Chen , Soummya Kar

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Abdollah Jalilian , Arnaud Poinas , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Discretization of the uniform norm of functions from a given finite dimensional subspace of continuous functions is studied. We pay special attention to the case of trigonometric polynomials with frequencies from an arbitrary finite set…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Boris Kashin , Sergei Konyagin , Vladimir Temlyakov

In this paper we consider a sequence of random variables with mean uncertainty in a sublinear expectation space. Without the hypothesis of identical distributions, we show a new central limit theorem under the sublinear expectations.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Min Li , Yufeng Shi

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We study the problem of computing a longest increasing subsequence in a sequence $S$ of $n$ distinct elements in the presence of persistent comparison errors. In this model, every comparison between two elements can return the wrong result…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-08-13 Barbara Geissmann

Test-time compute (TTC) has become an increasingly prominent paradigm for enhancing large language models (LLMs). Despite the empirical success of methods such as best-of-$n$ (BoN) sampling and sequential revision, their fundamental limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Yue Yu , Qiwei Di , Quanquan Gu , Dongruo Zhou

We consider sequential selection of an alternating subsequence from a sequence of independent, identically distributed, continuous random variables, and we determine the exact asymptotic behavior of an optimal sequentially selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Alessandro Arlotto , Robert W. Chen , Lawrence A. Shepp , J. Michael Steele

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

In online classification, a learner is presented with a sequence of examples and aims to predict their labels in an online fashion so as to minimize the total number of mistakes. In the self-directed variant, the learner knows in advance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Vasilis Kontonis , Christos Tzamos , Nikos Zarifis