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Ensemble learning methods are designed to benefit from multiple learning algorithms for better predictive performance. The tradeoff of this improved performance is slower speed and larger size of ensemble learning systems compared to single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Abolfazl Nadi , Hadi Moradi , Khalil Taheri

Neuronal ensemble inference is one of the significant problems in the study of biological neural networks. Various methods have been proposed for ensemble inference from their activity data taken experimentally. Here we focus on Bayesian…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-03-30 Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

Bayesian optimisation is a sample efficient method for finding a global optimum of expensive black-box objective functions. Historic datasets from related problems can be exploited to help improve performance of Bayesian optimisation by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Natasha Trinkle , Huong Ha , Jeffrey Chan

We describe different Bayesian ensemble refinement methods, examine their interrelation, and discuss their practical application. With ensemble refinement, the properties of dynamic and partially disordered (bio)molecular structures can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-20 Gerhard Hummer , Jürgen Köfinger

When making predictions about ecosystems, we often have available a number of different ecosystem models that attempt to represent their dynamics in a detailed mechanistic way. Each of these can be used as simulators of large-scale…

Machine learning algorithms, however effective, are known to be vulnerable in adversarial scenarios where a malicious user may inject manipulated instances. In this work we focus on evasion attacks, where a model is trained in a safe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Stefano Calzavara , Claudio Lucchese , Federico Marcuzzi , Salvatore Orlando

A specific implementation of Bayesian model averaging has recently been suggested as a method for the calibration of ensemble temperature forecasts. We point out the similarities between this new approach and an earlier method known as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

The two primary approaches for high-dimensional regression problems are sparse methods (e.g., best subset selection, which uses the L0-norm in the penalty) and ensemble methods (e.g., random forests). Although sparse methods typically yield…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar

We consider the problem of learning decision rules for prediction with feature budget constraint. In particular, we are interested in pruning an ensemble of decision trees to reduce expected feature cost while maintaining high prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-06 Feng Nan , Joseph Wang , Venkatesh Saligrama

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

This paper investigates the suitability of using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to generate stable structures for the physics-based puzzle game Angry Birds. While previous applications of GANs for level generation have been mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Frederic Abraham , Matthew Stephenson

Ensembles are a popular way to improve results of discriminative CNNs. The combination of several networks trained starting from different initializations improves results significantly. In this paper we investigate the usage of ensembles…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Yaxing Wang , Lichao Zhang , Joost van de Weijer

Regression trees and their ensemble methods are popular methods for nonparametric regression: they combine strong predictive performance with interpretable estimators. To improve their utility for locally smooth response surfaces, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Sören R. Künzel , Theo F. Saarinen , Edward W. Liu , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Tree-based ensembles such as the Random Forest are modern classics among statistical learning methods. In particular, they are used for predicting univariate responses. In case of multiple outputs the question arises whether we separately…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-17 Lena Schmid , Alexander Gerharz , Andreas Groll , Markus Pauly

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Heterogeneous ensembles built from the predictions of a wide variety and large number of diverse base predictors represent a potent approach to building predictive models for problems where the ideal base/individual predictor may not be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Ana Stanescu , Gaurav Pandey

Modern data analysis increasingly requires flexible conditional inference P(X_B | X_A) where (X_A, X_B) is an arbitrary partition of observed variable X. Existing approaches are either restricted to a fixed conditioning structure or depend…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Qiao Liu , Wing Hung Wong