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We study the numerical integration of functions from isotropic Sobolev spaces $W_p^s([0,1]^d)$ using finitely many function evaluations within randomized algorithms, aiming for the smallest possible probabilistic error guarantee…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Robert J. Kunsch

We present an algorithmic solution to the problem of incremental belief updating in the context of Monte Carlo inference in Bayesian statistical models represented by probabilistic programs. Given a model and a sample-approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-13 David Tolpin

In this paper, we propose a new randomized method for numerical integration on a compact complex manifold with respect to a continuous volume form. Taking for quadrature nodes a suitable determinantal point process, we build an unbiased…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Thibaut Lemoine , Rémi Bardenet

While the Quasi-Monte Carlo method of numerical integration achieves smaller integration error than standard Monte Carlo, its use in particle physics phenomenology has been hindered by the abscence of a reliable way to estimate that error.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-11 R. H. Kleiss , A. Lazopoulos

We solve a variety of sign problems for models in lattice field theory using the Hamiltonian formulation, including Yukawa models and simple lattice gauge theories. The solutions emerge naturally in continuous time and use the dual…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2017-04-03 Emilie Huffman

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

We derive exact, universal, closed-form quantum Monte Carlo estimators for finite-temperature energy susceptibility and fidelity susceptibility, applicable to essentially arbitrary Hamiltonians. Combined with recent advancements in Monte…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-30 Nic Ezzell , Lev Barash , Itay Hen

Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Louis Paulot

Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King

We present density response estimators for Monte Carlo simulations that are based on a reweighting procedure, where the samples of an unperturbed system are used to estimate the properties of a system perturbed by an external harmonic…

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) inference. We introduce a method for numerically approximating ABC posteriors using the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). A sequential Monte Carlo version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Ajay Jasra , Seongil Jo , David Nott , Christine Shoemaker , Raul Tempone

Zero- and two-dimensional crystal defects form in open statistical ensembles, such as the grand canonical, that are usually inaccessible with conventional simulation techniques. This longstanding challenge is overcome with a new Hamiltonian…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-16 Flynn Walsh , Babak Sadigh , Joseph T. McKeown , Timofey Frolov

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

The systems of nonlinear Volterra integral equations of the first kind with jump discontinuous kernels are studied. The iterative numerical method for such nonlinear systems is proposed. Proposed method employs the modified…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 A. N. Tynda , D. N. Sidorov , N. A. Sidorov

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

This article analyzes and develops a method to solve fractional ordinary differential equations using the Monte Carlo Method. A numerical simulation is performed for some differential equations, comparing the results with what exists in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Luverci N. Ferreira , Matheus J. Lazo

In this note we study the numerical stability problem that may take place when calculating the cumulative distribution function of the {\it Hypoexponential} random variable. This computation is extensively used during the execution of Monte…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-26 Ilya Gertsbakh , Eyal Neuman , Radislav Vaisman

We study cluster perturbation theory [Phys. Rev. Lett. \textbf{84}, 522 (2000)] when auxiliary field quantum Monte Carlo method is used for solving the cluster hamiltonian. As a case study, we calculate the spectral functions of the Hubbard…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 Fei Lin , Erik S. Sorensen , Catherine Kallin , A. John Berlinsky

The Feynman-Kac formulae (FKF) express local solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) as expectations with respect to some complementary stochastic differential equation (SDE). Repeatedly sampling paths from the complementary SDE…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Jake Carson , Murray Pollock , Mark Girolami
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