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We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

The Monte Carlo method is a thriving and mathematically beautiful numerical technique used extensively, nowadays, to deal with many demanding problems in diverse fields. Here, we present an iterative Monte Carlo algorithm to work out very…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 Martín Chávez-Páez , Enrique González-Tovar , Guillermo Iván Guerrero-García

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

Measuring observables to constrain models using maximum-likelihood estimation is fundamental to many physics experiments. Wilks' theorem provides a simple way to construct confidence intervals on model parameters, but it only applies under…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-02-06 M. A. Acero , B. Acharya , P. Adamson , L. Aliaga , N. Anfimov , A. Antoshkin , E. Arrieta-Diaz , L. Asquith , A. Aurisano , A. Back , C. Backhouse , M. Baird , N. Balashov , P. Baldi , B. A. Bambah , S. Bashar , A. Bat , K. Bays , R. Bernstein , V. Bhatnagar , D. Bhattarai , B. Bhuyan , J. Bian , A. C. Booth , R. Bowles , B. Brahma , C. Bromberg , N. Buchanan , A. Butkevich , S. Calvez , T. J. Carroll , E. Catano-Mur , A. Chatla , R. Chirco , B. C. Choudhary , S. Choudhary , A. Christensen , T. E. Coan , M. Colo , L. Cremonesi , G. S. Davies , P. F. Derwent , P. Ding , Z. Djurcic , M. Dolce , D. Doyle , D. Dueñas Tonguino , E. C. Dukes , A. Dye , R. Ehrlich , M. Elkins , E. Ewart , G. J. Feldman , P. Filip , J. Franc , M. J. Frank , H. R. Gallagher , R. Gandrajula , F. Gao , A. Giri , R. A. Gomes , M. C. Goodman , V. Grichine , M. Groh , R. Group , B. Guo , A. Habig , F. Hakl , A. Hall , J. Hartnell , R. Hatcher , H. Hausner , M. He , K. Heller , V Hewes , A. Himmel , B. Jargowsky , J. Jarosz , F. Jediny , C. Johnson , M. Judah , I. Kakorin , D. M. Kaplan , A. Kalitkina , J. Kleykamp , O. Klimov , L. W. Koerner , L. Kolupaeva , S. Kotelnikov , R. Kralik , Ch. Kullenberg , M. Kubu , A. Kumar , C. D. Kuruppu , V. Kus , T. Lackey , K. Lang , P. Lasorak , J. Lesmeister , S. Lin , A. Lister , J. Liu , M. Lokajicek , J. M. C. Lopez , R. Mahji , S. Magill , M. Manrique Plata , W. A. Mann , M. T. Manoharan , M. L. Marshak , M. Martinez-Casales , V. Matveev , B. Mayes , B. Mehta , M. D. Messier , H. Meyer , T. Miao , V. Mikola , W. H. Miller , S. Mishra , S. R. Mishra , A. Mislivec , R. Mohanta , A. Moren , A. Morozova , W. Mu , L. Mualem , M. Muether , K. Mulder , D. Naples , A. Nath , N. Nayak , S. Nelleri , J. K. Nelson , R. Nichol , E. Niner , A. Norman , A. Norrick , T. Nosek , H. Oh , A. Olshevskiy , T. Olson , J. Ott , A. Pal , J. Paley , L. Panda , R. B. Patterson , G. Pawloski , D. Pershey , O. Petrova , R. Petti , D. D. Phan , R. K. Plunkett , A. Pobedimov , J. C. C. Porter , A. Rafique , L. R. Prais , V. Raj , M. Rajaoalisoa , B. Ramson , B. Rebel , P. Rojas , P. Roy , V. Ryabov , O. Samoylov , M. C. Sanchez , S. Sánchez Falero , P. Shanahan , P. Sharma , S. Shukla , A. Sheshukov , I. Singh , P. Singh , V. Singh , E. Smith , J. Smolik , P. Snopok , N. Solomey , A. Sousa , K. Soustruznik , M. Strait , L. Suter , A. Sutton , S. Swain , C. Sweeney , A. Sztuc , B. Tapia Oregui , P. Tas , B. N. Temizel , T. Thakore , R. B. Thayyullathil , J. Thomas , E. Tiras , J. Tripathi , J. Trokan-Tenorio , Y. Torun , J. Urheim , P. Vahle , Z. Vallari , J. Vasel , T. Vrba , M. Wallbank , T. K. Warburton , M. Wetstein , D. Whittington , D. A. Wickremasinghe , T. Wieber , J. Wolcott , M. Wrobel , W. Wu , Y. Xiao , B. Yaeggy , A. Yallappa Dombara , A. Yankelevich , K. Yonehara , S. Yu , Y. Yu , S. Zadorozhnyy , J. Zalesak , Y. Zhang , R. Zwaska

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-05 Indrek Mandre , Jaan Kalda

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

The numerical method for solution of the weakly regular scalar Volterra integral equation of the 1st kind is proposed. The kernels of such equations have jump discontinuities on the continuous curves which starts at the origin. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Denis Sidorov , Aleksandr Tynda , Ildar Muftahov

The recently introduced backward Monte-Carlo method [Johan Carlsson, arXiv:math.NA/0010118] is validated, benchmarked, and compared to the conventional, forward Monte-Carlo method by analyzing the error in the Monte-Carlo solutions to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Johan Carlsson

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We present novel Monte Carlo methods for treating the interacting shell model that allow exact calculations much larger than those heretofore possible. The two-body interaction is linearized by an auxiliary field; Monte Carlo evaluation of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 C. W. Johnson , S. E. Koonin , G. H. Lang , W. E. Ormand

We discuss the use of a recent class of sequential Monte Carlo methods for solving inverse problems characterized by a semi-linear structure, i.e. where the data depend linearly on a subset of variables and nonlinearly on the remaining…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-06 Sara Sommariva , Alberto Sorrentino

Standard quantum amplitude estimation algorithms provide quadratic speedup to Monte-Carlo simulations but require a circuit depth that scales as inverse of the estimation error. In view of the shallow depth in near-term devices, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Dinh-Long Vu , Bin Cheng , Patrick Rebentrost

This paper sets up a methodology for approximately solving optimal investment problems using duality methods combined with Monte Carlo simulations. In particular, we show how to tackle high dimensional problems in incomplete markets, where…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 L C G Rogers , Pawel Zaczkowski

A novel instantaneous GNSS ambiguity resolution approach which makes use of only single-frequency carrier phase measurements for ultra-short baseline attitude determination is proposed. The Monte Carlo sampling method is employed to obtain…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-20 Xiucong Sun , Chao Han , Pei Chen

We are concerned with the numerical resolution of backward stochastic differential equations. We propose a new numerical scheme based on iterative regressions on function bases, which coefficients are evaluated using Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Emmanuel Gobet , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Xavier Warin

We present in detail a formulation of the shell model as a path integral and Monte Carlo techniques for its evaluation. The formulation, which linearizes the two-body interaction by an auxiliary field, is quite general, both in the form of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 G. H. Lang , C. W. Johnson , S. E. Koonin , W. E. Ormand

We describe an algorithm, based on Euler's method, for solving Volterra integro-differential equations. The algorithm approximates the relevant integral by means of the composite Trapezium Rule, using the discrete nodes of the independent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-24 J. S. C. Prentice

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé