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Assessing the practical identifiability of epidemic models is essential for determining whether parameters can be meaningfully estimated from observed data. Monte Carlo (MC) methods provide an accessible and intuitive framework; however,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Chiara Mattamira , Olivia Prosper Feldman

Most common Monte Carlo methods for sensitivity analysis of stochastic reaction networks are the finite difference (FD), the Girsanov transformation (GT) and the regularized pathwise derivative (RPD) methods. It has been numerically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Ting Wang , Muruhan Rathinam

Information-theoretic quantities play a crucial role in understanding non-linear relationships between random variables and are widely used across scientific disciplines. However, estimating these quantities remains an open problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Alberto Foresti , Giulio Franzese , Pietro Michiardi

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

The multi-level method for discrete state systems, first introduced by Anderson and Higham [Multiscale Model. Simul. 10:146--179, 2012], is a highly efficient simulation technique that can be used to elucidate statistical characteristics of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-06 Christopher Lester , Ruth E. Baker , Michael B. Giles , Christian A. Yates

Stochasticity plays a fundamental role in various biochemical processes, such as cell regulatory networks and enzyme cascades. Isothermal, well-mixed systems can be modelled as Markov processes, typically simulated using the Gillespie…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-12 Andrew Duncan , Radek Erban , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Sequential data naturally arises from user engagement on digital platforms like social media, music streaming services, and web navigation, encapsulating evolving user preferences and behaviors through continuous information streams. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Fabian Spaeh , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

Stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) are increasingly used to account for the inherent stochasticity exhibited by interacting populations of species in areas such as epidemiology, population ecology and systems biology. Species numbers are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-06 Tom E. Lowe , Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

Electrochemical hybrid battery models have major potential to enable advanced physics-based control, diagnostic, and prognostic features for next-generation lithium-ion battery management systems. This is due to the physical significance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Jackson Fogelquist , Xinfan Lin

Hybrid systems whose mode dynamics are governed by non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are often a natural model for biological processes. However such models are difficult to analyze. To address this, we develop a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Benjamin M. Gyori , Bing Liu , Soumya Paul , R. Ramanathan , P. S. Thiagarajan

We propose a hybrid deterministic and stochastic approach to achieve extended time scales in atomistic simulations that combines the strengths of molecular dynamics (MD) and Monte Carlo (MC) simulations in an easy-to-implement way. The…

Materials Science · Physics 2011-10-18 Pratyush Tiwary , Axel van de Walle

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has emerged as a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to sample from complex continuous distributions. However, a fundamental limitation of HMC is that it can not be applied to distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-10 Guangyao Zhou

Stochastic sampling methods are arguably the most direct and least intrusive means of incorporating parametric uncertainty into numerical simulations of partial differential equations with random inputs. However, to achieve an overall error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Hans-Werner van Wyk

Quantum-mechanical methods are widely used for understanding molecular interactions throughout biology, chemistry, and materials science. Quantum diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) and coupled cluster with single, double, and perturbative triple…

A number of parametric and nonparametric methods for estimating cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) have been developed and applied in a wide range of contexts. However, in the literature, a wide chasm exists between these two families of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Chenchen Ma , Jimmy de la Torre , Gongjun Xu

This paper presents a new method for the solution of multiscale stochastic differential equations at the diffusive time scale. In contrast to averaging-based methods, e.g., the heterogeneous multiscale method (HMM) or the equation-free…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-19 A. Abdulle , G. A. Pavliotis , U. Vaes

In this paper, an approach to estimating a nonlinear deterministic model is presented. We introduce a stochastic model with extremely small variances so that the deterministic and stochastic models are essentially indistinguishable from…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-13 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Stephen G. Walker

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are widely used in machine learning. One of the major problems with MCMC is the question of how to design chains that mix fast over the whole state space; in particular, how to select the parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Kiarash Shaloudegi , András György