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Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set $\mathcal{T}$, we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the union of the linear classes induced by these feature maps.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

We study the problem of mismatched likelihood ratio test. We analyze the type-\RNum{1} and \RNum{2} error exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from the distributions used in the test. We derive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Parham Boroumand , Albert Guillen i Fabregas

Classification problems in security settings are usually contemplated as confrontations in which one or more adversaries try to fool a classifier to obtain a benefit. Most approaches to such adversarial classification problems have focused…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Roi Naveiro , Alberto Redondo , David Ríos Insua , Fabrizio Ruggeri

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

We study the problem of regression with interval targets, where only upper and lower bounds on target values are available in the form of intervals. This problem arises when the exact target label is expensive or impossible to obtain, due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Rattana Pukdee , Ziqi Ke , Chirag Gupta

We propose the misclassified Ising Model; a framework for analyzing dependent binary data where the binary state is susceptible to error. We extend the theoretical results of the model selection method presented in Ravikumar et. al. (2010)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 David G. Sinclair , Giles Hooker

This paper develops a bias correction scheme for a multivariate heteroskedastic errors-in-variables model. The applicability of this model is justified in areas such as astrophysics, epidemiology and analytical chemistry, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-27 Alexandre G. Patriota , Artur J. Lemonte , Heleno Bolfarine

In general, underestimation of risk is something which should be avoided as far as possible. Especially in financial asset management, equity risk is typically characterized by the measure of portfolio variance, or indirectly by quantities…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-31 Thomas Schürmann , Ingo Hoffmann

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Our primary aim is to find an estimate of the expected shortfall in various situations: (1) Nonparametric situation, when the probability distribution of the incurred loss is unknown, only satisfying some general conditions. Then, following…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Jana Jurečková , Jan Kalina , Jan Večeř

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

We study the performance of empirical risk minimization on the $p$-norm linear regression problem for $p \in (1, \infty)$. We show that, in the realizable case, under no moment assumptions, and up to a distribution-dependent constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Murat A. Erdogdu

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

In this paper we provide a computation algorithm to get a global solution for the maximum rank correlation estimator using the mixed integer programming (MIP) approach. We construct a new constrained optimization problem by transforming all…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-11 Youngki Shin , Zvezdomir Todorov

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the impact of model misspecification when computing general expected values of interest. The methodology that we propose is applicable in great generality, in particular, we provide examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

As a natural extension to the standard conformal prediction method, several conformal risk control methods have been recently developed and applied to various learning problems. In this work, we seek to control the conformal risk in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Government statistical agencies often apply statistical disclosure limitation techniques to survey microdata to protect the confidentiality of respondents. There is a need for valid and practical ways to assess the protection provided. This…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-15 Natalie Shlomo , Chris Skinner

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

Learning from triplet comparison data has been extensively studied in the context of metric learning, where we want to learn a distance metric between two instances, and ordinal embedding, where we want to learn an embedding in an Euclidean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Zhenghang Cui , Nontawat Charoenphakdee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama
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