English
Related papers

Related papers: Estimation of the Hawkes Process With Renewal Immi…

200 papers

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study a class of interacting nonlinear Hawkes point processes on the integer lattice in which each component is reset after its own jumps. The intensity of a component depends on the post-reset activity of its nearest neighbours, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Branda P. I. Gonçalves , Lucien Mauffret

The EM-algorithm is a general procedure to get maximum likelihood estimates if part of the observations on the variables of a network are missing. In this paper a stochastic version of the algorithm is adapted to probabilistic neural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Gerhard Paass

Finite mixture models have been widely used for the modelling and analysis of data from heterogeneous populations. Maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters is typically carried out via the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-08 Sharon X Lee , Kaleb L Lee , Geoffrey J McLachlan

The so-called matrix-element method (MEM) has long been used successfully as a classification tool in particle physics searches. In the presence of invisible final state particles, the traditional MEM typically assigns probabilities to an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-08-26 Stefan von Buddenbrock , Olivier Mattelaer , Michael Spannowsky

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

The goal of branch length estimation in phylogenetic inference is to estimate the divergence time between a set of sequences based on compositional differences between them. A number of software is currently available facilitating branch…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Ania Kedzierska , Marta Casanellas

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

In distributed evolutionary algorithms, migration interval is used to decide migration moments. Nevertheless, migration moments predetermined by intervals cannot match the dynamic situation of evolution. In this paper, a scheme of setting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-06 Chengjun Li , Jia Wu

Parameter estimation in logistic regression is a well-studied problem with the Newton-Raphson method being one of the most prominent optimization techniques used in practice. A number of monotone optimization methods including…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-11 Nicholas C. Henderson , Zhongzhe Ouyang

The mixture model is undoubtedly one of the greatest contributions to clustering. For continuous data, Gaussian models are often used and the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is particularly suitable for estimating parameters from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Zineddine Tighidet , Lazhar Labiod , Mohamed Nadif

We consider the problem of sparse estimation in a factor analysis model. A traditional estimation procedure in use is the following two-step approach: the model is estimated by maximum likelihood method and then a rotation technique is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-18 Kei Hirose , Michio Yamamoto

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be…

Panel count data describes aggregated counts of recurrent events observed at discrete time points. To understand dynamics of health behaviors, the field of quantitative behavioral research has evolved to increasingly rely upon panel count…

The Bayesian two-step change point detection method is popular for the Hawkes process due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, the non-conjugacy between the point process likelihood and the prior requires most existing Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Zeyue Zhang , Xiaoling Lu , Feng Zhou

Generalized evolutionary point processes offer a class of point process models that allows for either excitation or inhibition based upon the history of the process. In this regard, we propose modeling which comprises generalization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Philip A. White , Alan E. Gelfand

Initialisation of the EM algorithm in model-based clustering is often crucial. Various starting points in the parameter space often lead to different local maxima of the likelihood function and, so to different clustering partitions. Among…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Luca Scrucca , Adrian E. Raftery

Birth-death processes (BDPs) are continuous-time Markov chains that track the number of "particles" in a system over time. While widely used in population biology, genetics and ecology, statistical inference of the instantaneous particle…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-22 Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

The interest in variable selection for clustering has increased recently due to the growing need in clustering high-dimensional data. Variable selection allows in particular to ease both the clustering and the interpretation of the results.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-11 Charles Bouveyron , Camille Brunet

The spread of invasive species to new areas threatens the stability of ecosystems and causes major economic losses in agriculture and forestry. We propose a novel approach to minimizing the spread of an invasive species given a limited…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-13 Amrita Gupta , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Bistra Dilkina , Hongyuan Zha