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In this paper, we consider the problem of safety assessment for Markov decision processes without explicit knowledge of the model. We aim to learn probabilistic safety specifications associated with a given policy without compromising the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-11 Abhijit Mazumdar , Rafal Wisniewski , Manuela L. Bujorianu

To understand and explain process behaviour we need to be able to see it, and decide its significance, i.e. be able to tell a story about its behaviours. This paper describes a few of the modelling challenges that underlie monitoring and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Mark Burgess

Machine learning researchers and practitioners steadily enlarge the multitude of successful learning models. They achieve this through in-depth theoretical analyses and experiential heuristics. However, there is no known general-purpose…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Matthias C. Caro

A novel solution to the smoothing problem for multi-object dynamical systems is proposed and evaluated. The systems of interest contain an unknown and varying number of dynamical objects that are partially observed under noisy and corrupted…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-08 Jeremie Houssineau , Jiajie Zeng , Ajay Jasra

This article redefines arbitrariness not as a normative flaw or a symptom of domination, but as a foundational functional mechanism structuring human systems and interactions. Diverging from critical traditions that conflate arbitrariness…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Naomi Omeonga wa Kayembe

Multi-objective probabilistic model checking is a powerful technique for verifying stochastic systems against multiple (potentially conflicting) properties. To enhance the trustworthiness and explainability of model checking tools, we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Christel Baier , Calvin Chau , Volodymyr Drobitko , Simon Jantsch , Sascha Klüppelholz

We propose a safe exploration algorithm for deterministic Markov Decision Processes with unknown transition models. Our algorithm guarantees safety by leveraging Lipschitz-continuity to ensure that no unsafe states are visited during…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Erdem Bıyık , Jonathan Margoliash , Shahrouz Ryan Alimo , Dorsa Sadigh

Opacity is an important information-flow security property that characterizes the plausible deniability of a dynamic system for its "secret" against eavesdropping attacks. As an information-flow property, the underlying observation model is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Junyao Hou , Xiang Yin , Shaoyuan Li

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

We define the concept of an `open' Markov process, a continuous-time Markov chain equipped with specified boundary states through which probability can flow in and out of the system. External couplings which fix the probabilities of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-03 Blake S. Pollard

We introduce Multi-Environment Markov Decision Processes (MEMDPs) which are MDPs with a set of probabilistic transition functions. The goal in a MEMDP is to synthesize a single controller with guaranteed performances against all…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-12-04 Jean-François Raskin , Ocan Sankur

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are standard models for dynamic systems with probabilistic and nondeterministic behaviour in uncertain environments. We prove that in POMDPs with long-run average objective, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Raimundo Saona , Bruno Ziliotto

Nontransitive choices have long been an area of curiosity within economics. However, determining whether nontransitive choices represent an individual's preference is a difficult task since choice data is inherently stochastic. This paper…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-01 Mogens Fosgerau , John Rehbeck

We introduce a probabilistic model of early visual processing, beginning with the interaction between a light wavefront and the retina. We argue that perception originates not with deterministic transduction, but with probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-31 Jayanth R Taranath , Salim M'Jahad

We consider the problem of filtering an unseen Markov chain from noisy observations, in the presence of uncertainty regarding the parameters of the processes involved. Using the theory of nonlinear expectations, we describe the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Samuel N. Cohen

Opacity is a general framework modeling security properties of systems interacting with a passive attacker. Initial-and-final-state opacity (IFO) generalizes the classical notions of opacity, such as current-state opacity and initial-state…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Tomáš Masopust , Petr Osička

We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of conditional independences and algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Tobias Fritz , Andreas Klingler , Drew McNeely , Areeb Shah-Mohammed , Yuwen Wang

Opacity and attack detectability are important properties for any system as they allow the states to remain private and malicious attacks to be detected, respectively. In this paper, we show that a fundamental trade-off exists between these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Varkey M. John , Vaibhav Katewa

Applications of machine learning inform human decision makers in a broad range of tasks. The resulting problem is usually formulated in terms of a single decision maker. We argue that it should rather be described as a two-player learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Sebastian Bordt , Ulrike von Luxburg

Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Pranav Ashok , Jan Křetínský , Maximilian Weininger
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