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We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

Standard maximum likelihood estimation cannot be applied to discrete energy-based models in the general case because the computation of exact model probabilities is intractable. Recent research has seen the proposal of several new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Benjamin Marlin , Nando de Freitas

In this paper, we investigated the effect on extreme of random replacing for a stationary sequence satisfying a type of long dependent condition and a local dependent condition, and derived the joint asymptotic distribution of maximum from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Yuwei Li , Zhongquan Tan

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

Recently in [M. Hairer, M. Hutzenthaler, and A. Jentzen, Ann. Probab. 43, 2 (2015), 468--527] and [A. Jentzen, T. M\"uller-Gronbach, and L. Yaroslavtseva, Commun. Math. Sci. 14, 6 (2016), 1477--1500] stochastic differential equations (SDEs)…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Arnulf Jentzen , Benno Kuckuck , Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

A statistical model is said to be un-normalised when its likelihood function involves an intractable normalising constant. Two popular methods for parameter inference for these models are MC-MLE (Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation),…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Lionel Riou-Durand , Nicolas Chopin

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

It is known that many equations of interest in Mathematical Physics display solutions which are only asymptotically invariant under transformations (e.g. scaling and/or translations) which are not symmetries of the considered equation. In…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 G. Gaeta , D. Levi , R. Mancinelli

We extend the work of Tanase-Nicola and Kurchan on the structure of diffusion processes and the associated supersymmetry algebra by examining the responses of a simple statistical system to external disturbances of various kinds. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 I. T. Drummond , R. R. Horgan

The paper concerns the $d$-dimensional stochastic approximation recursion, $$ \theta_{n+1}= \theta_n + \alpha_{n + 1} f(\theta_n, \Phi_{n+1}) $$ where $ \{ \Phi_n \}$ is a stochastic process on a general state space, satisfying a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-18 Vivek Borkar , Shuhang Chen , Adithya Devraj , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

A necessary and suffcient condition for Pitman's asymptotic relative effciency (ARE) of the Kendall and Spearman correlation statistics for the independence test to be 1 is given, in terms of certain smoothness and nondegeneracy properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Iosif Pinelis

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of randomly perturbed path-dependent stochastic differential equations with small parameter $\vartheta_{\varepsilon}$, when $\varepsilon \rightarrow 0$, $\vartheta_\varepsilon$ goes to $0$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Liu Xiangdong , Hong Shaopeng

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

The limiting stability of invariant probability measures of time homogeneous transition semigroups for autonomous stochastic systems has been extensively discussed in the literature. In this paper we initially initiate a program to study…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Renhai Wang , Tomas Caraballo , Nguyen Huy Tuan

Partial differential equations with random inputs have become popular models to characterize physical systems with uncertainty coming from, e.g., imprecise measurement and intrinsic randomness. In this paper, we perform asymptotic rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Jianfeng Lu , Xiang Zhou

We study local asymptotic properties of likelihood ratios of certain Heston models. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical models. For the drift parameters, local asymptotic normality is proved in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-04 Emma J. McCoy , Sofia C. Olhede , David A. Stephens