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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are of utmost importance in various scientific and industrial areas. They are the natural description of dynamical processes whose precise equations of motion are either not known or too expensive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Philipp Frank , Theo Steininger , Torsten A. Enßlin

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint on the parameters then the maximum likelihood estimate does not exist. But when the ratios of the scale parameters are restricted appropriately, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Kentaro Tanaka

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

We study functional stochastic differential equations with a locally unbounded, functional drift focusing on well-posedness, stability and the strong Feller property. Following the non-functional case, we only consider integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Stefan Bachmann

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

A discrete statistical model is a subset of a probability simplex. Its maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a retraction from that simplex onto the model. We characterize all models for which this retraction is a rational function. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Eliana Duarte , Orlando Marigliano , Bernd Sturmfels

Irregular sampling intervals and missing values in real-world time series data present challenges for conventional methods that assume consistent intervals and complete data. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) offer an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

We consider state-dependent delay equations (SDDE) obtained by adding delays to a planar ordinary differential equation with a limit cycle. These situations appear in models of several physical processes, where small delay effects are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Jiaqi Yang , Joan Gimeno , Rafael de la Llave

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Recent years have witnessed significant progress in developing effective training and fast sampling techniques for diffusion models. A remarkable advancement is the use of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Defang Chen , Zhenyu Zhou , Jian-Ping Mei , Chunhua Shen , Chun Chen , Can Wang

Assume that we observe a stochastic process $(X(t))_{t\in[-r,T]}$, which satisfies the linear stochastic delay differential equation \[ \mathrm{d} X(t) = \vartheta \int_{[-r,0]} X(t + u) \, a(\mathrm{d} u) \, \mathrm{d} t + \mathrm{d} W(t)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Stochastic symmetries and related invariance properties of finite dimensional SDEs driven by general c\`adl\`ag semimartingales taking values in Lie groups are defined and investigated. In order to enlarge the class of possible symmetries…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

The concept of deterministic dynamical chaos has a long history and is well established by now. Nevertheless, its field theoretic essence and its stochastic generalization have been revealed only very recently. Within the newly found…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-04-11 Igor V. Ovchinnikov , Robert N. Schwartz , Kang L. Wang

We investigate distributional properties of a class of spectral spatial statistics under irregular sampling of a random field that is defined on $\mathbb{R}^d$, and use this to obtain a test for isotropy. Within this context, edge effects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Theresa Eckle , Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

This work establishes the weak convergence of Euler-Maruyama's approximation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with singular drifts under the integrability condition in lieu of the widely used growth condition. This method is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Jinghai Shao

This paper establishes a Freidlin-Wentzell large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations(SDEs) under locally weak monotonicity conditions and Lyapunov conditions. We illustrate the main result of the paper by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Jian Wang , Hao Yang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang
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