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We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

The statistics of records in sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables is a classic subject of study. One of the earliest results concerns the stochastic independence of record events. Recently, records statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-26 Gregor Wergen , Jasper Franke , Joachim Krug

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 David Lipshutz

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

Khasminski's \cite{chas1980stochastic} showed that many of the asymptotic stability and the integrability properties of the solutions to the Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) can be obtained using Lyapunov functions techniques. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Lukasz Szpruch , X\=ılíng Zhāng

In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-03-11 Kyong-Hui Kim , Hak-Myong Pak

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We give answer to an open problem regarding consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) involving crossed random effects. The solution to the open problem introduces an interesting,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Jiming Jiang

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=\theta a(t,X_t)\,dt+\sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Meriem Bel Hadj Khlifa , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Mounir Zili

The (strong and weak) well-posedness is proved for singular SDEs depending on the distribution density point-wisely and globally, where the drift satisfies a local integrability condition in time-spatial variables, and is Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Feng-Yu Wang

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

The intermittency phenomenon is the occurrence of very high but rare peaks, which despite their rarity influence the asymptotic behaviour of the underlying system. Mathematically this can be characterised with the asymptotics of moments. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Andrey Dorogovtsev , Alexander Weiß

In this paper non-asymptotic exact exponential estimates are derived (under minimal conditions) for the tail of deviation of the MLE distribution in the so-called natural terms: natural function, natural distance, metric entropy, Banach…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-25 E. Ostrovsky , E. Rogover

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

Delay differential equations (DDEs) with large delays play a pivotal role in understanding stability and bifurcations in systems ranging from neural networks to laser dynamics. While prior work has extensively studied DDEs with discrete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Isam Al-Darabsah , Sue Ann Campbell , Bootan Rahman

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

We study mean field stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient that depends on the distribution function of the unknown process in a discontinuous manner, which is a type of distribution dependent regime switching. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Jani Nykänen

We consider Mc Kean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs), which are SDEs where the drift and diffusion coefficients depend not only on the state of the unknown process but also on its probability distribution. This type of SDEs…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Khaled Bahlali , Mohamed Amine Mezerdi , Brahim Mezerdi

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen