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In this paper, we investigate adaptive nonlinear regression and introduce tree based piecewise linear regression algorithms that are highly efficient and provide significantly improved performance with guaranteed upper bounds in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-30 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

Random forests have become popular for clinical risk prediction modelling. In a case study on predicting ovarian malignancy, we observed training c-statistics close to 1. Although this suggests overfitting, performance was competitive on…

In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

The wealth of data being gathered about humans and their surroundings drives new machine learning applications in various fields. Consequently, more and more often, classifiers are trained using not only numerical data but also complex data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Maciej Piernik , Dariusz Brzezinski , Pawel Zawadzki

Due to their efficiency and small size, decision trees and random forests are popular machine learning models used for classification on resource-constrained systems. In such systems, the available execution time for inference in a random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Daniel Biebert , Christian Hakert , Kay Heider , Daniel Kuhse , Sebastian Buschjäger , Jian-Jia Chen

We analyze the trade-off between model complexity and accuracy for random forests by breaking the trees up into individual classification rules and selecting a subset of them. We show experimentally that already a few rules are sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Michael Rapp , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

Regression trees are one of the oldest forms of AI models, and their predictions can be made without a calculator, which makes them broadly useful, particularly for high-stakes applications. Within the large literature on regression trees,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Rui Zhang , Rui Xin , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin

Survival random forest is a popular machine learning tool for modeling censored survival data. However, there is currently no statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating its confidence band. This paper proposes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Sarah Elizabeth Formentini , Wei Liang , Ruoqing Zhu

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Random forests have long been considered as powerful model ensembles in machine learning. By training multiple decision trees, whose diversity is fostered through data and feature subsampling, the resulting random forest can lead to more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Gilles Audemard , Steve Bellart , Louenas Bounia , Frédéric Koriche , Jean-Marie Lagniez , Pierre Marquis

Towards a future where machine learning systems will integrate into every aspect of people's lives, researching methods to interpret such systems is necessary, instead of focusing exclusively on enhancing their performance. Enriching the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Ioannis Vlahavas , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Analysis of sample survey data often requires adjustments to account for missing data in the outcome variables of principal interest. Standard adjustment methods based on item imputation or on propensity weighting factors rely heavily on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Wei-Yin Loh , John Eltinge , MoonJung Cho , Yuanzhi Li

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging…

We apply split conformal prediction techniques to regression problems with circular responses by introducing a suitable conformity score, leading to prediction sets with adaptive arc length and finite-sample coverage guarantees for any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Paulo C. Marques F. , Rinaldo Artes , Helton Graziadei

We develop a finite-sample, design-based theory for random forests in which each tree is a randomized conditional predictor acting on fixed covariates and the forest is their Monte Carlo average. An exact variance identity separates Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Nathaniel S. O'Connell

Without access to large compute clusters, building random forests on large datasets is still a challenging problem. This is, in particular, the case if fully-grown trees are desired. We propose a simple yet effective framework that allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Fabian Gieseke , Christian Igel

Regression trees are becoming increasingly popular as omnibus predicting tools and as the basis of numerous modern statistical learning ensembles. Part of their popularity is their ability to create a regression prediction without ever…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Will Ruth , Thomas Loughin

Motivated by online recommendation systems, we study a family of random forests. The vertices of the forest are labeled by integers. Each non-positive integer $i\le 0$ is the root of a tree. Vertices labeled by positive integers $n \ge 1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Nicolas Broutin , Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Random forests are a widely used machine learning algorithm, but their computational efficiency is undermined when applied to large-scale datasets with numerous instances and useless features. Herein, we propose a nonparametric feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Xiaojun Mao , Liuhua Peng , Zhonglei Wang

Tree ensemble methods such as random forests [Breiman, 2001] are very popular to handle high-dimensional tabular data sets, notably because of their good predictive accuracy. However, when machine learning is used for decision-making…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Erwan Scornet