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In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

We develop a likelihood-based inference for finite-state birth-death processes with composite birth rates, in which multiple distinct mechanisms contribute additively to the total birth intensity. Our main motivating example is an SIS…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Marko Lalovic , Nicos Georgiou , Istvan Z. Kiss

We present the statistical method as a direct extension of the mean first-passage time concept to the analysis of molecular dynamics simulation data of a phase transformation. According to the method, the mean first-passage time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-18 Anatolii V. Mokshin , Bulat N. Galimzyanov

The jump processes W(t) on [0,\infty[ with transitions w -> alpha w at rate b*w^beta (0 =< alpha =< 1, b>0, beta>0) are considered. Their moments are shown to decay not faster than algebraically for t -> \infty, and an equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Yves Elskens

This paper deals with the stochastic modeling of a class of heterogeneous population in a random environment, called birth-death-swap. In addition to demographic events, swap events, i.e. moves between subgroups, occur in the population.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Sarah Kaakai , Nicole El Karoui

For a class of time inhomogenous distribution dependent birth-death processes, we derive the well-posedness, $\mathbb{W}_p$-estimate, exponential ergodicity, and uniform in time propagation of chaos. These extend the corresponding results…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Feng-Yu Wang , Yi Zhao

The simple (linear) birth-and-death process is a widely used stochastic model for describing the dynamics of a population. When the process is observed discretely over time, despite the large amount of literature on the subject, little is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Alberto Pessia , Jing Tang

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process (snLp) $X$, killed according to a rate that is a function $\omega$ of its position, we analyse the exit probability of the one-sided upwards-passage problem. When $\omega$ is strictly positive, this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Matija Vidmar

Extreme mutation rates in microbes and cancer cells can result in error-induced extinction (EEX), where every descendant cell eventually acquires a lethal mutation. In this work, we investigate critical birth-death processes with $n$…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-08 Meritxell Brunet Guasch , P. L. Krapivsky , Tibor Antal

We consider a one-dimensional random walk (RW) with a continuous and symmetric jump distribution, $f(\eta)$, characterized by a L\'evy index $\mu \in (0,2]$, which includes standard random walks ($\mu=2$) and L\'evy flights ($0<\mu<2$). We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-22 Satya N. Majumdar , Philippe Mounaix , Gregory Schehr

This paper is focused on a class of spatial birth and death process of the Euclidean space where the birth rate is constant and the death rate of a given point is the shot noise created at its location by the other points of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Francois Baccelli , Fabien Mathieu , Ilkka Norros

Understanding the space-time features of how a L\'evy process crosses a constant barrier for the first time, and indeed the last time, is a problem which is central to many models in applied probability such as queueing theory, financial…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 A. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , V. Rivero

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

Let be $X(t)= x - \mu t + \sigma B_t - N_t$ a L$\acute{\text{e}}$vy process starting from $x >0,$ where $ \mu \ge 0, \ \sigma \ge 0, \ B_t$ is a standard BM, and $N_t$ is a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity $ \theta >0,$ starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Mario Abundo , Sara Furia

We consider a class of birth-and-death processes describing a population made of $d$ sub-populations of different types which interact with one another. The state space is $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ (unbounded). We assume that the population goes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ taking the steps $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$ and $(0,-1)$ with probabilities $\lambda < (\mu_1\neq \mu_2)$; in particular, $X$ is assumed stable. Let $\tau_n$ be the first time $X$ hits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Ali Devin Sezer

We consider a discrete time population model for which each individual alive at time $n$ survives independently of everybody else at time $n+1$ with probability $\beta_n$. The sequence $(\beta_n)$ is i.i.d. and constitutes our random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Luiz Renato Fontes , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

This paper considers a natural variant of the $d$-dimensional multitype contact process in which individuals can be fertile or sterile. Fertile individuals of type $i$ give birth to an offspring of their own type at rate $\lambda_i$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

Let $\left\{ Z_{n},n=0,1,2,...\right\} $ be a critical branching process in i.i.d. random environment, $Z_{r,n}$ be the number of particles in the process at moment $0\leq r\leq n-1$ that have a positive number of descendants in generation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We study a natural growth process with competition, modeled by two first passage percolation processes, $FPP_1$ and $FPP_\lambda$, spreading on a graph. $FPP_1$ starts at the origin and spreads at rate $1$, whereas $FPP_\lambda$ starts from…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Elisabetta Candellero , Alexandre Stauffer