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We investigate the problem of noise bias in maximum likelihood and maximum a posteriori estimators for cosmic shear. We derive the leading and next-to-leading order biases and compute them in the context of galaxy ellipticity measurements,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-23 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Since cosmic shear was first observed in 2000, it has become a key cosmological probe and promises to deliver exquisite dark energy constraints. However, shear is inferred from coherent distortions of galaxy shapes, and the relation between…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-19 Enya Van den Abeele , Pierre Astier , Anna Niemiec

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

As imaging surveys progress in exploring the large-scale structure of the Universe through the use of weak gravitational lensing, achieving subpercent accuracy in estimating shape distortions caused by lensing, or shear, is imperative for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-22 Andy Park , Xiangchong Li , Rachel Mandelbaum

We derive an estimator of weak gravitational lensing shear from background galaxy images that avoids noise-induced biases through a rigorous Bayesian treatment of the measurement. The derived shear estimator disposes with the assignment of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Gary M. Bernstein , Robert Armstrong

The Bayesian gravitational shear estimation algorithm developed by Bernstein and Armstrong (2014) can potentially be used to overcome multiplicative noise bias and recover shear using very low signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) galaxy images. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Erin S. Sheldon

We study a linear high-dimensional regression model in a semi-supervised setting, where for many observations only the vector of covariates $X$ is given with no response $Y$. We do not make any sparsity assumptions on the vector of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg

This paper introduces a general framework for estimating variance components in the linear mixed models via general unbiased estimating equations, which include some well-used estimators such as the restricted maximum likelihood estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Sanjay Chaudhuri

We examine the problem of estimating the trace of a matrix $A$ when given access to an oracle which computes $x^\dagger A x$ for an input vector $x$. We make use of the basis vectors from a set of mutually unbiased bases, widely studied in…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-08-02 J. K. Fitzsimons , M. A. Osborne , S. J. Roberts , J. F. Fitzsimons

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We consider the problem of approximating the product of $n$ expectations with respect to a common probability distribution $\mu$. Such products routinely arise in statistics as values of the likelihood in latent variable models. Motivated…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-05 Anthony Lee , Simone Tiberi , Giacomo Zanella

In this work, we address the problem of Hessian inversion bias in distributed second-order optimization algorithms. We introduce a novel shrinkage-based estimator for the resolvent of gram matrices which is asymptotically unbiased, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Fangzhao Zhang , Mert Pilanci

We consider the estimation of a sparse parameter vector from measurements corrupted by white Gaussian noise. Our focus is on unbiased estimation as a setting under which the difficulty of the problem can be quantified analytically. We show…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-02-02 Alexander Jung , Zvika Ben-Haim , Franz Hlawatsch , Yonina C. Eldar

We study the existence of algorithms generating almost surely nonnegative unbiased estimators. We show that given a nonconstant real-valued function $f$ and a sequence of unbiased estimators of $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$, there is no algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-02 Pierre E. Jacob , Alexandre H. Thiery

Necessary and sufficient conditions for the square-integrability of recently proposed unbiased estimators are established. A geometric characterization of a distribution that optimizes the performance of these estimators is given. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Nabil Kahale

Point estimators for the shearing of galaxy images induced by gravitational lensing involve a complex inverse problem in the presence of noise, pixelization, and model uncertainties. We present a probabilistic forward modeling approach to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Michael D. Schneider , David W. Hogg , Philip J. Marshall , William A. Dawson , Joshua Meyers , Deborah J. Bard , Dustin Lang

The recent thought-provoking paper by Hansen [2022, Econometrica] proved that the Gauss-Markov theorem continues to hold without the requirement that competing estimators are linear in the vector of outcomes. Despite the elegant proof, it…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-02 Lihua Lei , Jeffrey Wooldridge

Debiased estimation has long been an area of research in the group testing literature. This has led to the development of several estimators with the goal of bias minimization and, recently, an unbiased estimator based on sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky

Over the last few years, debiased estimators have been proposed in order to establish rigorous confidence intervals for high-dimensional problems in machine learning and data science. The core argument is that the error of these estimators…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Frederik Hoppe , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Felix Krahmer , Marion I. Menzel , Holger Rauhut
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