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Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé

In this paper the problem of best linear unbiased estimation is investigated for continuous-time regression models. We prove several general statements concerning the explicit form of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), in particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Stein unbiased risk estimation is generalized twice, from the Gaussian shift model to nonparametric families of smooth densities, and from the quadratic risk to more general divergence type distances. The development relies on a connection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Werner Ehm

Training large-scale mixture of experts models efficiently on modern hardware requires assigning datapoints in a batch to different experts, each with a limited capacity. Recently proposed assignment procedures lack a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Wouter Kool , Chris J. Maddison , Andriy Mnih

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

Motivated by the proliferation of observational datasets and the need to integrate non-randomized evidence with randomized controlled trials, causal inference researchers have recently proposed several new methodologies for combining biased…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Francesca Dominici , Luke Miratrix

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Dave Zachariah , Nafiseh Shariati , Mats Bengtsson , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

In large-scale modern data analysis, first-order optimization methods are usually favored to obtain sparse estimators in high dimensions. This paper performs theoretical analysis of a class of iterative thresholding based estimators defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Yiyuan She

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Implicit feedback is widely leveraged in recommender systems since it is easy to collect and provides weak supervision signals. Recent works reveal a huge gap between the implicit feedback and user-item relevance due to the fact that…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Can Chen , Chen Ma , Xi Chen , Sirui Song , Hao Liu , Xue Liu

We present an in-depth analysis of the sources of variance in state-of-the-art unbiased volumetric transmittance estimators, and propose several new methods for improving their efficiency. These combine to produce a single estimator that is…

Graphics · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Markus Kettunen , Eugene d'Eon , Jacopo Pantaleoni , Jan Novak

Compared to nonparametric estimators in the multivariate setting, kernel estimators for functional data models have a larger order of bias. This is problematic for constructing confidence regions or statistical tests since the bias might…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Melanie Birke , Tim Greger

Large catalogs of shear-selected peaks have recently become a reality. In order to properly interpret the abundance and properties of these peaks, it is necessary to take into account the effects of the clustering of source galaxies, among…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Fabian Schmidt , Eduardo Rozo

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Assuming squared error loss, we show that finding unbiased estimators and Bayes estimators can be treated as using a pair of linear operators that operate between two Hilbert spaces. We note that these integral operators are adjoint and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Siamak Noorbaloochi , Glen Meeden

In this paper we consider an extension of the beta regression model proposed by Ferrari and Cribari-Neto (2004). We extend their model in two different ways, first, we let the regression structure be nonlinear, second, we allow a regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-24 Alexandre B. Simas , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Andréa V. Rocha

We present a new method to estimate shear measurement bias in image simulations that significantly improves the precision with respect to current techniques. Our method is based on measuring the shear response for individual images. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-19 Arnau Pujol , Martin Kilbinger , Florent Sureau , Jerome Bobin

We present a new trace estimator of the matrix whose explicit form is not given but its matrix multiplication to a vector is available. The form of the estimator is similar to the Hutchison stochastic trace estimator, but instead of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Boram Yoon