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We develop a new algorithm for the estimation of rare event probabilities associated with the steady-state of a Markov stochastic process with continuous state space $\mathbb R^d$ and discrete time steps (i.e. a discrete-time $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Krzysztof Bisewski , Daan Crommelin , Michel Mandjes

We have analyzed the relations between the mutational pressure, recombination and selection pressure in the bit-string model with sexual reproduction. For specific sets of these parameters we have found three phase transitions with one…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 D. Stauffer , S. Cebrat

The general Markov plus invariable sites (GM+I) model of biological sequence evolution is a two-class model in which an unknown proportion of sites are not allowed to change, while the remainder undergo substitutions according to a Markov…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Coalescents with multiple collisions (also called Lambda-coalescents or simple exchangeable coalescents) are used as models of genealogies. We study a new class of Markovian coalescent processes connected to a population model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-02 Clément Foucart

We present a new method for simulating Markovian jump processes with time-dependent transitions rates, which avoids the transformation of random numbers by inverting time integrals over the rates. It relies on constructing a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Viktor Holubec , Petr Chvosta , Mario Einax , Philipp Maass

When simulating biological populations under different evolutionary genetic models, backward or forward strategies can be followed. Backward simulations, also called coalescent-based simulations, are computationally very efficient. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-03 Antonio Carvajal-Rodriguez

Statistical models that involve latent Markovian state processes have become immensely popular tools for analysing time series and other sequential data. However, the plethora of model formulations, the inconsistent use of terminology, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Sina Mews , Jan-Ole Koslik , Roland Langrock

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Molecular simulations can provide microscopic insight into the physical and chemical driving forces of complex molecular processes. Despite continued advancement of simulation methodology, model errors may lead to inconsistencies between…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-02-12 Joseph F. Rudzinski , Kurt Kremer , Tristan Bereau

Despite the many challenges in exploratory data analysis, artificial neural networks have motivated strong interests in scientists and researchers both in theoretical as well as practical applications. Among sources of such popularity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Z. Zarezadeh , N. Zarezadeh

In this work, a versatile mathematical framework for multi-state probabilistic modeling of Resistive Switching (RS) devices is proposed for the first time. The mathematical formulation of memristor and Markov jump processes are combined…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Vasileios Ntinas , Antonio Rubio , Georgios Ch. Sirakoulis

Up to now, the nonparametric analysis of multidimensional continuous-time Markov processes has focussed strongly on specific model choices, mostly related to symmetry of the semigroup. While this approach allows to study the performance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

Recent developments in Machine Learning approaches for modelling physical systems have begun to mirror the past development of numerical methods in the computational sciences. In this survey, we begin by providing an example of this with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Artur P. Toshev , Ludger Paehler , Andrea Panizza , Nikolaus A. Adams

This paper serves as a bridge between quantum computing and analogical modeling (a general theory for predicting categories of behavior in varying contexts). Since its formulation in the early 1980s, analogical modeling has been…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Royal Skousen

We study the role of recombination, as practiced by genetically-competent bacteria, in speeding up Darwinian evolution. This is done by adding a new process to a previously-studied Markov model of evolution on a smooth fitness landscape;…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Elisheva Cohen , David A. Kessler , Herbert Levine

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Symbolic regression is a machine learning method with the goal to produce interpretable results. Unlike other machine learning methods such as, e.g. random forests or neural networks, which are opaque, symbolic regression aims to model and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yousef A. Radwan , Gabriel Kronberger , Stephan Winkler

Neurons can code for multiple variables simultaneously and neuroscientists are often interested in classifying neurons based on their receptive field properties. Statistical models provide powerful tools for determining the factors…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-28 Mehrad Sarmashghi , Shantanu P. Jadhav , Uri T. Eden

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independently estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-13 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii