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We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or HJM modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numeraire process and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Christa Cuchiero , Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto

For a long time interest-rate models were built on a single yield curve used both for discounting and forwarding. However, the crisis that has affected financial markets in the last years led market players to revise this assumption and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-04 Nicola Moreni , Andrea Pallavicini

The crisis that affected financial markets in the last years leaded market practitioners to revise well known basic concepts like the ones of discount factors and forward rates. A single yield curve is not sufficient any longer to describe…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-25 Andrea Pallavicini , Marco Tarenghi

We present a HJM approach to the projection of multiple yield curves developed to capture the volatility content of historical term structures for risk management purposes. Since we observe the empirical data at daily frequency and only for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-09 Chiara Sabelli , Michele Pioppi , Luca Sitzia , Giacomo Bormetti

Collateralization with daily margining has become a new standard in the post-crisis market. Although there appeared vast literature on a so-called multi-curve framework, a complete picture of a multi-currency setup with cross-currency basis…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-08 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

We develop a general term structure framework taking stochastic discontinuities explicitly into account. Stochastic discontinuities are a key feature in interest rate markets, as for example the jumps of the term structures in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Claudio Fontana , Zorana Grbac , Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

We provide a general HJM framework for forward contracts written on abstract market indices with arbitrary fixing and payment adjustments, and featuring collateralization in any currency denominations. In view of this, we first provide a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Alessandro Gnoatto , Silvia Lavagnini

We develop a unified framework for modeling multiple term structures arising in financial, insurance, and energy markets, adopting an extended Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach under the real-world probability. We study market viability…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Claudio Fontana , Eckhard Platen , Stefan Tappe

We provide a unified framework for modeling LIBOR rates using general semimartingales as driving processes and generic functional forms to describe the evolution of the dynamics. We derive sufficient conditions for the model to be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-12 Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

We consider an HJM model setting for Markov-chain modulated forward rates. The underlying Markov chain is assumed to induce regime switches on the forward curve dynamics. Our primary focus is on the interest rate and energy futures markets.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-16 Andreas Celary , Paul Eisenberg , Zehra Eksi

We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-15 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

We introduce a multiple curve framework that combines tractable dynamics and semi-analytic pricing formulas with positive interest rates and basis spreads. Negatives rates and positive spreads can also be accommodated in this framework. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-07 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon , John Schoenmakers , David Skovmand

In this work we introduce Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest rate models driven by fractional Brownian motions. By using support arguments we prove that the resulting model is arbitrage free under proportional transaction costs in the same…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-09 Alberto Ohashi

US Yield curve has recently collapsed to its most flattened level since subprime crisis and is close to the inversion. This fact has gathered attention of investors around the world and revived the discussion of proper modeling and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Jarek Duda , Małgorzata Snarska

We propose an alternative approach on the existence of affine realizations for HJM interest rate models. It is applicable to a wide class of models, and simultaneously it is conceptually rather comprehensible. We also supplement some known…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Stefan Tappe

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-17 Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

In the context of multi-curve modeling we consider a two-curve setup, with one curve for discounting (OIS swap curve) and one for generating future cash flows (LIBOR for a give tenor). Within this context we present an approach for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-22 Laura Morino , Wolfgang J. Ruggaldier

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-08 Ernst Eberlein , Christoph Gerhart , Zorana Grbac
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