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A sequence of Markov chains is said to exhibit (total variation) cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is abrupt. We consider reversible lazy chains. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Riddhipratim Basu , Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

We study scaling limits of non-increasing Markov chains with values in the set of non-negative integers, under the assumption that the large jump events are rare and happen at rates that behave like a negative power of the current state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Bénédicte Haas , Grégory Miermont

Let $\xi$ n , n $\in$ N be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with values in Z. The associated random walk on Z is S(n) = $\xi$ 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + $\xi$ n+1 and the corresponding "reflected walk" on N 0 is the Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Hoang-Long Ngo , Marc Peigné

We consider Markov chains on the space of (countable) partitions of the interval $[0,1]$, obtained first by size biased sampling twice (allowing repetitions) and then merging the parts with probability $\beta_m$ (if the sampled parts are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eddy Mayer-Wolf , Ofer Zeitouni , Martin P. W. Zerner

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

For a martingale $(X_n)$ converging almost surely to a random variable $X$, the sequence $(X_n - X)$ is called martingale tail sum. Recently, Neininger [Random Structures Algorithms, 46 (2015), 346-361] proved a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Henning Sulzbach

The classic arcsine law for the number $N_{n}^{>}:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=1}^{n}\mathbf{1}_{\{S_{k}>0\}}$ of positive terms, as $n\to\infty$, in an ordinary random walk $(S_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ is extended to the case when this random walk is governed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fabian Buckmann

We prove a version of Nagaev's theorem for the branching random walk with heavy-tailed associated random walk. For a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ we consider the random measure $Z_n = \sum_{|u|=n} e^{-V_u} \delta_{V_u}$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Jakob Stonner

The tail chain of a Markov chain can be used to model the dependence between extreme observations. For a positive recurrent Markov chain, the tail chain aids in describing the limit of a sequence of point processes $\{N_n,n\geq1\}$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We study Markov chains on a lattice in a codimension-one stratified independent random environment, exploiting results established in [2]. First of all the random walk is transient in dimension at least three. Focusing on dimension two,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Julien Brémont

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yunfan Zhao , Xiaojing Chen

We consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\8$ on $\R^d$ defined by the stochastic recursion $X_{n}=M_n X_{n-1}+Q_n$, where $(Q_n,M_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables taking values in the affine group $H=\R^d\rtimes {\rm GL}(\R^d)$. Assume that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-10 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek , Yves Guivarc'h

In this paper we consider the statistics of repeated measurements on the output of a quantum Markov chain. We establish a large deviations result analogous to Sanov's theorem for the empirical measure associated to finite sequences of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Merlijn van Horssen , Madalin Guta

For i.i.d. random vectors $(M_{1},Q_{1}),(M_{2},Q_{2}),\ldots$ such that $M>0$ a.s., $Q\geq 0$ a.s. and $\mathbb{P}(Q=0)<1$, the random difference equation $X_{n}=M_{n}X_{n-1}+Q_{n}$, $n=1,2,\ldots$, is studied in the critical case when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Iksanov

We present a general method to derive the metastable behavior of weakly mixing Markov chains. This approach is based on properties of the resolvent equations and can be applied to metastable dynamics which do not satisfy the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Claudio Landim , Diego Marcondes , Insuk Seo

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

We study (plane) tree-valued Markov chains $(T_n,n \geq 1)$ with uniform backward dynamics and show that they can be obtained by sampling from a real tree. As non--plane trees, every such Markov chain is represented by a weighted real tree.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 David Geldbach

The $\lambda$-biased random walk on a binary tree of depth $n$ is the continuous-time Markov chain that has unit mean holding times and, when at a vertex other than the root or a leaf of the tree in question, has a probability of jumping to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 David A. Croydon

We propose a general method to study dependent data in a binary tree, where an individual in one generation gives rise to two different offspring, one of type 0 and one of type 1, in the next generation. For any specific characteristic of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Julien Guyon