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Inferring parameters of models of biochemical kinetics from single-cell data remains challenging because of the uncertainty arising from the intractability of the likelihood function of stochastic reaction networks. Such uncertainty falls…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Zekai Li , Mauricio Barahona , Philipp Thomas

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile method to estimate rare events probabilities. It is an iterative procedure on an interacting particle system, where at each step, the $k$ less well-adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-07 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelievre , Mathias Rousset

The notion of entropy is shared between statistics and thermodynamics, and is fundamental to both disciplines. This makes statistical problems particularly suitable for reaction network implementations. In this paper we show how to perform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Muppirala Viswa Virinchi , Abhishek Behera , Manoj Gopalkrishnan

We consider how to generate chemical reaction networks (CRNs) from functional specifications. We propose a two-stage approach that combines synthesis by satisfiability modulo theories and Markov chain Monte Carlo based optimisation. First,…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2015-08-19 Neil Dalchau , Niall Murphy , Rasmus Petersen , Boyan Yordanov

Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS for short) is a generic Monte Carlo method for Markov processes that simulates rare events and estimates associated probabilities. Despite its practical efficiency, there are almost no theoretical results…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Frédéric Cérou , Bernard Delyon , Arnaud Guyader , Mathias Rousset

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

The ability to adapt to changing environments and settings is essential for robots acting in dynamic and unstructured environments or working alongside humans with varied abilities or preferences. This work introduces an extremely simple…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Pamela Carreno-Medrano , Dana Kulić , Michael Burke

Biochemical reaction networks are an amalgamation of reactions where each reaction represents the interaction of different species. Generally, these networks exhibit a multi-scale behavior caused by the high variability in reaction rates…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-14 Derya Altıntan , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Lattice kinetic Monte Carlo simulations have become a vital tool for predictive quality atomistic understanding of complex surface chemical reaction kinetics over a wide range of reaction conditions. In order to expand their practical value…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-03-08 Max J. Hoffmann , Felix Engelmann , Sebastian Matera

The stochastic simulation of large-scale biochemical reaction networks is of great importance for systems biology since it enables the study of inherently stochastic biological mechanisms at the whole cell scale. Stochastic Simulation…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-30 Elias S. Manolakos , Elias Kouskoumvekakis

We present adaptive sequential SAA (sample average approximation) algorithms to solve large-scale two-stage stochastic linear programs. The iterative algorithm framework we propose is organized into \emph{outer} and \emph{inner} iterations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Raghu Pasupathy , Yongjia Song

We present an algorithm for the stochastic simulation of gene expression and heterogeneous population dynamics. The algorithm combines an exact method to simulate molecular-level fluctuations in single cells and a constant-number Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-08-24 Daniel A. Charlebois , Jukka Intosalmi , Dawn Fraser , Mads Kaern

Finding reduced models of spatially-distributed chemical reaction networks requires an estimation of which effective dynamics are relevant. We propose a machine learning approach to this coarse graining problem, where a maximum entropy…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Oliver K. Ernst , Thomas Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

This work introduces a general multi-level model for self-adaptive systems. A self-adaptive system is seen as composed by two levels: the lower level describing the actual behaviour of the system and the upper level accounting for the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-05-16 Emanuela Merelli , Nicola Paoletti , Luca Tesei

In this work we propose an adaptive multilevel version of subset simulation to estimate the probability of rare events for complex physical systems. Given a sequence of nested failure domains of increasing size, the rare event probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Daniel Elfverson , Robert Scheichl , Simon Weissmann , F. Alejandro DiazDelaO

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

We consider stochastic reaction networks modeled by continuous-time Markov chains. Such reaction networks often contain many reactions, potentially occurring at different time scales, and have unknown parameters (kinetic rates, total…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Linard Hoessly , Carsten Wiuf

A central aim in computational neuroscience is to relate the activity of large populations of neurons to an underlying dynamical system. Models of these neural dynamics should ideally be both interpretable and fit the observed data well.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Matthijs Pals , A Erdem Sağtekin , Felix Pei , Manuel Gloeckler , Jakob H Macke

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

We propose a framework that integrates classical Monte Carlo simulators and Wasserstein generative adversarial networks to model, estimate, and simulate a broad class of arrival processes with general non-stationary and multi-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yufeng Zheng , Zeyu Zheng , Tingyu Zhu
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