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Pathogen genome data offers valuable structure for spatial models, but its utility is limited by incomplete sequencing coverage. We propose a probabilistic framework for inferring genetic distances between unsequenced cases and known…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-10 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Hao Xue , Matthew Scotch , David Heslop , Andreas Züfle , Chandini Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

Phylogenetics is a branch of computational biology that studies the evolutionary relationships among biological entities. Its long history and numerous applications notwithstanding, inference of phylogenetic trees from sequence data remains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-26 Mingyang Zhou , Zichao Yan , Elliot Layne , Nikolay Malkin , Dinghuai Zhang , Moksh Jain , Mathieu Blanchette , Yoshua Bengio

The evolutionary relationships between species are typically represented in the biological literature by rooted phylogenetic trees. However, a tree fails to capture ancestral reticulate processes, such as the formation of hybrid species or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Johanna Heiss , Daniel H. Huson , Mike Steel

We propose the following simple stochastic model for phylogenetic trees. New types are born and die according to a birth and death chain. At each birth we associate a fitness to the new type sampled from a fixed distribution. At each death…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 T. M. Liggett , R. B. Schinazi

An important problem of reconstruction of diffusion network and transmission probabilities from the data has attracted a considerable attention in the past several years. A number of recent papers introduced efficient algorithms for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-24 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Theodor Misiakiewicz

We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Mutation rate variation across loci is well known to cause difficulties, notably identifiability issues, in the reconstruction of evolutionary trees from molecular sequences. Here we introduce a new approach for estimating general…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

For a pair consisting of a gene tree and a species tree, the ancestral configurations at an internal node of the species tree are the distinct sets of gene lineages that can be present at that node. Ancestral configurations appear in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Filippo Disanto , Michael Fuchs , Ariel R. Paningbatan , Noah A. Rosenberg

Phylogenetic networks are a generalization of phylogenetic trees allowing for the representation of non-treelike evolutionary events such as hybridization. Typically, such networks have been analyzed based on their `level', i.e. based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-11 Mareike Fischer , Michelle Galla , Lina Herbst , Yangjing Long , Kristina Wicke

The displayed tree phylogenetic network model is shown to sit as a natural submodel of the graphical model associated to a directed acyclic graph (DAG). This representation allows to derive a number of results about the displayed tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Seth Sullivant

We study the network reconstruction problem for an epidemic reaction-diffusion. These models are an extension of deterministic, compartmental models to a graph setting, where the reactions within the nodes are coupled by a diffusion. We…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-24 Louis-Brahim Beaufort , Pierre-Yves Massé , Antonin Reboulet , Laurent Oudre

Topological phylogenetic trees can be assigned edge weights in several natural ways, highlighting different aspects of the tree. Here the rooted triple and quartet metrizations are introduced, and applied to formulate novel fast methods of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-15 John A. Rhodes

Rooted phylogenetic networks are used to describe evolutionary histories that contain non-treelike evolutionary events such as hybridization and horizontal gene transfer. In some cases, such histories can be described by a phylogenetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-03 Laura Jetten , Leo van Iersel

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

Ancestral sequence reconstruction is a key task in computational biology. It consists in inferring a molecular sequence at an ancestral species of a known phylogeny, given descendant sequences at the tip of the tree. In addition to its many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Brandon Legried , Sebastien Roch

Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

A model of genomic sequence evolution on a species tree should include not only a sequence substitution process, but also a coalescent process, since different sites may evolve on different gene trees due to incomplete lineage sorting.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-15 Elizabeth A. Allman , Colby Long , John A. Rhodes

The reconstruction of a species tree from genomic data faces a double hurdle. First, the (gene) tree describing the evolution of each gene may differ from the species tree, for instance, due to incomplete lineage sorting. Second, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Sebastien Roch , Mike Steel

Reconciling a gene tree with a species tree is an important task that reveals much about the evolution of genes, genomes, and species, as well as about the molecular function of genes. A wide array of computational tools have been devised…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Yun Yu , Luay Nakhleh

Galled trees are widely studied as a recombination model in population genetics. This class of phylogenetic networks is generalized into galled networks by relaxing a structural condition. In this work, a linear recurrence formula is given…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-21 Andreas DM Gunawan , Jeyaram Rathin , Louxin Zhang