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We study the convergence properties of a collapsed Gibbs sampler for Bayesian vector autoregressions with predictors, or exogenous variables. The Markov chain generated by our algorithm is shown to be geometrically ergodic regardless of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

Gibbsian structure in random point fields has been a classical tool for studying their spatial properties. However, exact Gibbs property is available only in a relatively limited class of models, and it does not adequately address many…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Subhro Ghosh , Kin Aun Tan

We investigate the Gibbs-measures of ferromagnetically coupled continuous spins in double-well potentials subjected to a random field (our specific example being the $\phi^4$ theory), showing ferromagnetic ordering in $d\geq 3$ dimensions…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Christof Kuelske

In an earlier paper the authors proved that limits of convergent graph sequences can be described by various structures, including certain 2-variable real functions called graphons, random graph models satisfying certain consistency…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-02-10 László Lovász , Balázs Szegedy

The hardcore model is a fundamental probabilistic model extensively studied in statistical physics, probability theory, and computer science. For graphs of maximum degree $\Delta$, a well-known computational phase transition occurs at the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Xiaoyu Chen , Zejia Chen , Zongchen Chen , Yitong Yin , Xinyuan Zhang

A rooted tree is balanced if the degree of a vertex depends only on its distance to the root. In this paper we determine the sharp threshold for the appearance of a large family of balanced spanning trees in the random geometric graph…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Alberto Espuny Díaz , Lyuben Lichev , Dieter Mitsche , Alexandra Wesolek

The graph projection of a hypergraph is a simple graph with the same vertex set and with an edge between each pair of vertices that appear in a hyperedge. We consider the problem of reconstructing a random $d$-uniform hypergraph from its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Guy Bresler , Chenghao Guo , Yury Polyanskiy

We propose a new type of approximate counting algorithms for the problems of enumerating the number of independent sets and proper colorings in low degree graphs with large girth. Our algorithms are not based on a commonly used Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , David Gamarnik

We consider the disordered monomer-dimer model on general finite graphs with bounded degrees. Under the finite fourth moment assumption on the weight distributions, we prove a Gaussian central limit theorem for the free energy of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Wai-Kit Lam , Arnab Sen

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

Let $d \geq 3$ be a fixed integer. We give an asympotic formula for the expected number of spanning trees in a uniformly random $d$-regular graph with $n$ vertices. (The asymptotics are as $n\to\infty$, restricted to even $n$ if $d$ is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Catherine Greenhill , Matthew Kwan , David Wind

We study the computational complexity of estimating local observables for Gibbs distributions. A simple combinatorial example is the average size of an independent set in a graph. In a recent work, we established NP-hardness of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Andreas Galanis , Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

In this paper, we study a class of multilinear Gibbs measures with Hamiltonian given by a generalized $\mathrm{U}$-statistic and with a general base measure. Expressing the asymptotic free energy as an optimization problem over a space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Sohom Bhattacharya , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

We study two models of discrete height functions, that is, models of random integer-valued functions on the vertices of a tree. First, we consider the random homomorphism model, in which neighbours must have a height difference of exactly…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Piet Lammers , Fabio Toninelli

We study the fixed-magnetization ferromagnetic Ising model on random $d$-regular graphs for $d\ge 3$ and inverse temperature below the tree reconstruction threshold. Our main result is that for each magnetization $\eta$, the free energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Reza Gheissari , Will Perkins , Corrine Yap

The problem of continuum percolation in dispersions of rods is reformulated in terms of weighted random geometric graphs. Nodes (or sites or vertices) in the graph represent spatial locations occupied by the centers of the rods. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-30 Avik P. Chatterjee , Claudio Grimaldi

We study the thermodynamic formalism for generalized Gibbs measures, such as renormalization group transformations of Gibbs measures or joint measures of disordered spin systems. We first show existence of the relative entropy density and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christof Kuelske , Arnaud Le Ny , Frank Redig

We prove Gibbs distribution of two-state spin systems(also known as binary Markov random fields) without hard constrains on a tree exhibits strong spatial mixing(also known as strong correlation decay), under the assumption that, for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-03-05 Jinshan Zhang

In this article we consider the graph alignment problem from the perspective of high-dimensional statistics: we aim to estimate an unknown permutation $\pi^*$ from the observation of two correlated random adjacency matrices $A_1$, $A_2$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Laurent Massoulié

Random-scan Gibbs samplers possess a natural hierarchical structure. The structure connects Gibbs samplers targeting higher dimensional distributions to those targeting lower dimensional ones. This leads to a quasi-telescoping property of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Qian Qin , Guanyang Wang