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We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We consider the problem of combining a (possibly uncountably infinite) set of affine estimators in non-parametric regression model with heteroscedastic Gaussian noise. Focusing on the exponentially weighted aggregate, we prove a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Joseph Salmon

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer

We derive oracle inequalities for the problems of isotonic and convex regression using the combination of $Q$-aggregation procedure and sparsity pattern aggregation. This improves upon the previous results including the oracle inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Pierre C. Bellec , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

In this note, we consider the problem of aggregation of estimators in order to denoise a signal. The main contribution is a short proof of the fact that the exponentially weighted aggregate satisfies a sharp oracle inequality. While this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan

We consider the problem of aggregating a general collection of affine estimators for fixed design regression. Relevant examples include some commonly used statistical estimators such as least squares, ridge and robust least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Dong Dai , Philippe Rigollet , Lucy Xia , Tong Zhang

In the same spirit as Tsybakov (2003), we define the optimality of an aggregation procedure in the problem of classification. Using an aggregate with exponential weights, we obtain an optimal rate of convex aggregation for the hinge risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Guillaume Lecué

Given a finite family of functions, the goal of model selection aggregation is to construct a procedure that mimics the function from this family that is the closest to an unknown regression function. More precisely, we consider a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-13 Dong Dai , Philippe Rigollet , Tong Zhang

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov

We address the problem of density estimation with $\mathbb{L}_s$-loss by selection of kernel estimators. We develop a selection procedure and derive corresponding $\mathbb{L}_s$-risk oracle inequalities. It is shown that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

We study the problem of linear and convex aggregation of $M$ estimators of a density with respect to the mean squared risk. We provide procedures for linear and convex aggregation and we prove oracle inequalities for their risks. We also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre Tsybakov

Aggregating estimators using exponential weights depending on their risk appears optimal in expectation but not in probability. We use here a slight overpenalization to obtain oracle inequality in probability for such an explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec

Given a dictionary of $M_n$ initial estimates of the unknown true regression function, we aim to construct linearly aggregated estimators that target the best performance among all the linear combinations under a sparse $q$-norm ($0 \leq q…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Zhan Wang , Sandra Paterlini , Frank Gao , Yuhong Yang

We study the problem of aggregation of estimators when the estimators are not independent of the data used for aggregation and no sample splitting is allowed. If the estimators are deterministic vectors, it is well known that the minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Pierre C. Bellec

Aggregation methods have emerged as a powerful and flexible framework in statistical learning, providing unified solutions across diverse problems such as regression, classification, and density estimation. In the context of generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 The Tien Mai

We obtain sharp oracle inequalities for the empirical risk minimization procedure in the regression model under the assumption that the target Y and the model F are subgaussian. The bound we obtain is sharp in the minimax sense if F is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Guillaume Lecué , Shahar Mendelson

Let $\cF$ be a set of $M$ classification procedures with values in $[-1,1]$. Given a loss function, we want to construct a procedure which mimics at the best possible rate the best procedure in $\cF$. This fastest rate is called optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Guillaume Lecué

We consider the problem of optimality, in a minimax sense, and adaptivity to the margin and to regularity in binary classification. We prove an oracle inequality, under the margin assumption (low noise condition), satisfied by an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar
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