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This paper addresses the problem of estimating a convex regression function under both the sup-norm risk and the pointwise risk using B-splines. The presence of the convex constraint complicates various issues in asymptotic analysis,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-02 Xiao Wang , Jinglai Shen

We provide a new computationally-efficient class of estimators for risk minimization. We show that these estimators are robust for general statistical models: in the classical Huber epsilon-contamination model and in heavy-tailed settings.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-23 Adarsh Prasad , Arun Sai Suggala , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

The paper focuses on general properties of parametric minimum contrast estimators. The quality of estimation is measured in terms of the rate function related to the contrast, thus allowing to derive exponential risk bounds invariant with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Yuri Golubev , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper, our aim is to analyse the generalization capabilities of first-order methods for statistical learning in multiple, different yet related, scenarios including supervised learning, transfer learning, robust learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Kevin Scaman , Mathieu Even , Batiste Le Bars , Laurent Massoulié

We propose a general solution approach for min-max-robust counterparts of combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain linear objectives. We focus on the discrete scenario case, but our approach can be extended to other types of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Enrico Bettiol , Christoph Buchheim , Marianna De Santis , Francesco Rinaldi

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is the workhorse of machine learning, whether for classification and regression or for off-policy policy learning, but its model-agnostic guarantees can fail when we use adaptively collected data, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-04 Aurélien Bibaut , Antoine Chambaz , Maria Dimakopoulou , Nathan Kallus , Mark van der Laan

We introduce a new measure of robustness for statistical estimators, which we call \emph{empirical sensitivity}. An estimator $\hat \theta$ has bounded empirical sensitivity if, with high probability over a dataset $X = (X_1, \dots, X_n)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Valentio Iverson , Gautam Kamath , Argyris Mouzakis , Adam Smith

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

We study the oracle complexity of finding $\varepsilon$-Pareto stationary points in smooth multiobjective optimization with $m$ objectives. Progress is measured by the Pareto stationarity gap $\mathcal{G}(x)$, the norm of the best convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Phillipe R. Sampaio

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

We want to recover the regression function in the single-index model. Using an aggregation algorithm with local polynomial estimators, we answer in particular to the second part of Question~2 from Stone (1982) on the optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Stéphane Gaïffas , Guillaume Lecué

In this paper, we study the problem of pointwise estimation of a multivariate density. We provide a data-driven selection rule from the family of kernel estimators and derive for it a pointwise oracle inequality. Using the latter bound, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Gilles Rebelles

We revisit the classic problem of aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts, also known as the Naive Bayes setting. Our quantity of interest is the error probability of the optimal decision rule. In the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Aryeh Kontorovich , Ariel Avital

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

There remain theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for the nonparametric Cox proportional hazards model. In particular, it is unclear how gradient-based optimization error propagates to population risk under partial likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Sattwik Ghosal , Xuran Meng , Yi Li

The paper considers model selection in regression under the additional structural constraints on admissible models where the number of potential predictors might be even larger than the available sample size. We develop a Bayesian formalism…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

Consider the following problem: given two arbitrary densities $q_1,q_2$ and a sample-access to an unknown target density $p$, find which of the $q_i$'s is closer to $p$ in total variation. A remarkable result due to Yatracos shows that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Olivier Bousquet , Daniel Kane , Shay Moran

This paper aims to build an estimate of an unknown density of the data with measurement error as a linear combination of functions from a dictionary. Inspired by the penalization approach, we propose the weighted Elastic-net penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaowei Yang , Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei , Shouzheng Zhang
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