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The choice of model class is fundamental in statistical learning and system identification, no matter whether the class is derived from physical principles or is a generic black-box. We develop a method to evaluate the specified model class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-20 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Several stochastic simulation algorithms (SSAs) have been recently proposed for modelling reaction-diffusion processes in cellular and molecular biology. In this paper, two commonly used SSAs are studied. The first SSA is an on-lattice…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Radek Erban , S Jonathan Chapman

Traditional stochastic modeling of reactive systems limits the domain of applicability of the associated path thermodynamics to systems involving a single elementary reaction at the origin of each observed change in composition. An…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-18 F. Baras , A. L. Garcia , M. Malek Mansour

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

Typically, discrete choice modelers develop ever-more advanced models and estimation methods. Compared to the impressive progress in model development and estimation, model-checking techniques have lagged behind. Often, choice modelers use…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Timothy Brathwaite

Stochastic Process Model has many applications in analysis of longitudinal biodemographic data. Such data contain various physiological variables (sometimes known as covariates). It also can potentially contain genetic information available…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-31 Ilya Zhbannikov , Konstantin Arbeev , Anatoliy Yashin

Matched case-control studies are commonly employed in epidemiological research for their convenience and efficiency. Analysis of secondary outcomes can yield valuable insights into biological pathways and help identify genetic variants of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Shanshan Liu , Guoqing Diao

Statistical Model Checking (SMC) is a trade-off between testing and formal verification. The core idea of the approach is to conduct some simulations of the system and verify if they satisfy some given property. In this paper we show that…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2011-11-03 Peter Bulychev , Alexandre David , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Marius Mikučionis , Axel Legay

We propose a faster algorithm for individual based simulations for adaptive dynamics based on a simple modification to the standard Gillespie Algorithm for simulating stochastic birth-death processes. We provide an analytical explanation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Vaibhav Madhok

Chemical reaction systems with a low to moderate number of molecules are typically modeled as discrete jump Markov processes. These systems are oftentimes simulated with methods that produce statistically exact sample paths such as the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 David F. Anderson

Chemical reaction networks (CRNs) provide a convenient language for modelling a broad variety of biological systems. These models are commonly studied with respect to the time series they generate in deterministic or stochastic simulations.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-11 Ozan Kahramanoğulları

Computer models, also known as simulators, can be computationally expensive to run, and for this reason statistical surrogates, known as emulators, are often used. Any statistical model, including an emulator, should be validated before…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

Dynamic models are widely used to mathematically describe biological phenomena that evolve over time. One important area of application is leukaemia research, where leukaemia cells are genetically modified in preclinical studies to explore…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Julian Wäsche , Romina Ludwig , Irmela Jeremias , Christiane Fuchs

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari

Delays in biological systems may be used to model events for which the underlying dynamics cannot be precisely observed. Mathematical modeling of biological systems with delays is usually based on Delay Differential Equations (DDEs), a kind…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-10-08 Roberto Barbuti , Giulio Caravagna , Paolo Milazzo , Andrea Maggiolo-Schettini

Biological organisms are composed of numerous interconnected biochemical processes. Diseases occur when normal functionality of these processes is disrupted. Thus, understanding these biochemical processes and their interrelationships is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-03-04 Saadat Anwar

Quality control in industrial processes is increasingly making use of prior scientific knowledge, often encoded in physical models that require numerical approximation. Statistical prediction, and subsequent optimization, is key to ensuring…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-10-23 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Kieran Martin

Model biomembrane systems play a crucial role in advancing biomedical research by providing simplified yet effective platforms for exploring complex biological mechanisms. These systems span a wide range of scales, from…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-01 Ajit Seth , Sajal K. Ghosh , Veerendra K. Sharma

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We propose a universal approach for analysis and fast simulations of stiff stochastic biochemical kinetics networks, which rests on elimination of fast chemical species without a loss of information about mesoscopic, non-Poissonian…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-07 N. A. Sinitsyn , Nicolas Hengartner , Ilya Nemenman