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This preprint has been reviewed and recommended by Peer Community In Evolutionary Biology (http://dx.doi.org/10.24072/pci.evolbiol.100036). Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has grown into a standard methodology that manages Bayesian…

We propose random hinge forests, a simple, efficient, and novel variant of decision forests. Importantly, random hinge forests can be readily incorporated as a general component within arbitrary computation graphs that are optimized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-02 Nathan Lay , Adam P. Harrison , Sharon Schreiber , Gitesh Dawer , Adrian Barbu

In this paper a general class of tree algorithms is analyzed. It is shown that, by using an appropriate probabilistic representation of the quantities of interest, the asymptotic behavior of these algorithms can be obtained quite easily…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Hanène Mohamed , Philippe Robert

This work studies the statistical implications of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Eliza O'Reilly

In this paper, we propose a new random forest algorithm that constructs the trees using a novel adaptive split-balancing method. Rather than relying on the widely-used random feature selection, we propose a permutation-based balanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Yuqian Zhang , Weijie Ji , Jelena Bradic

We investigate the statistics of trees grown from some initial tree by attaching links to preexisting vertices, with attachment probabilities depending only on the valence of these vertices. We consider the asymptotic mass distribution that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 François David , Philippe Di Francesco , Emmanuel Guitter , Thordur Jonsson

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

Decision forests are widely used for classification and regression tasks. A lesser known property of tree-based methods is that one can construct a proximity matrix from the tree(s), and these proximity matrices are induced kernels. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Sambit Panda , Cencheng Shen , Joshua T. Vogelstein

We introduce random spatial forests, a method of bagging regression trees allowing for spatial correlation. Our main contribution is the development of a computationally efficient tree building algorithm which selects each split of the tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Travis Hee Wai , Michael T. Young , Adam A. Szpiro

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Random forests are a type of ensemble method which makes predictions by combining the results of several independent trees. However, the theory of random forests has long been outpaced by their application. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-23 Jianyuan Sun , Guoqiang Zhong , Junyu Dong , Yajuan Cai

In this paper we develop a new machine learning estimator for ordered choice models based on the random forest. The proposed Ordered Forest flexibly estimates the conditional choice probabilities while taking the ordering information…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Gabriel Okasa

Assume we are given a set of items from a general metric space, but we neither have access to the representation of the data nor to the distances between data points. Instead, suppose that we can actively choose a triplet of items (A,B,C)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Siavash Haghiri , Damien Garreau , Ulrike von Luxburg

The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

Random forests perform bootstrap-aggregation by sampling the training samples with replacement. This enables the evaluation of out-of-bag error which serves as a internal cross-validation mechanism. Our motivation lies in using the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Kiran Bangalore Ravi , Jean Serra

Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Frederik Gossen , Bernhard Steffen

Random forests are widely used in regression. However, the decision trees used as base learners are poor approximators of linear relationships. To address this limitation we propose RaFFLE (Random Forest Featuring Linear Extensions), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Thomas Servotte , Tim Verdonck , Ruicong Yao

We consider supervised learning with random decision trees, where the tree construction is completely random. The method is popularly used and works well in practice despite the simplicity of the setting, but its statistical mechanism is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-06 Mariusz Bojarski , Anna Choromanska , Krzysztof Choromanski , Yann LeCun

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed

Due to their long-standing reputation as excellent off-the-shelf predictors, random forests continue remain a go-to model of choice for applied statisticians and data scientists. Despite their widespread use, however, until recently, little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-01 Siyu Zhou , Lucas Mentch