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Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

We present an evaluation of the performance of an automated classification of the Hipparcos periodic variable stars into 26 types. The sub-sample with the most reliable variability types available in the literature is used to train…

Random Forest (RF) is an ensemble classification technique that was developed by Breiman over a decade ago. Compared with other ensemble techniques, it has proved its accuracy and superiority. Many researchers, however, believe that there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Khaled Fawagreh , Mohamad Medhat Gaber , Eyad Elyan

In this paper we present a new error bound on sampling algorithms for frequent itemsets mining. We show that the new bound is asymptotically tighter than the state-of-art bounds, i.e., given the chosen samples, for small enough error…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shiyu Ji , Kun Wan

To further develop the statistical inference problem for heterogeneous treatment effects, this paper builds on Breiman's (2001) random forest tree (RFT)and Wager et al.'s (2018) causal tree to parameterize the nonparametric problem using…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-15 Lai Xinglin

Out-of-bag error is commonly used as an estimate of generalisation error in ensemble-based learning models such as random forests. We present confidence intervals for this quantity using the delta-method-after-bootstrap and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Samyak Rajanala , Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Haixin Wang , Xingzhang Ren , Jinan Sun , Wei Ye , Long Chen , Muzhi Yu , Shikun Zhang

In this work, we present a random forest framework that learns the weights, shapes, and sparsities of feature representations for real-time semantic segmentation. Typical filters (kernels) have predetermined shapes and sparsities and learn…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Byeongkeun Kang , Truong Q. Nguyen

We present a robust Bayesian method to analyze forestry data when samples are selected with probability proportional to length from a finite population of unknown size. Specifically, we use Bayesian predictive inference to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-13 Zhiqing Xu , Balgobin Nandram , Binod Manandhar

We study the asymptotic behavior of four statistics associated with subtrees of complete graphs: the uniform probability $p_n$ that a random subtree is a spanning tree of $K_n$, the weighted probability $q_n$ (where the probability a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-08-22 Alex J. Chin , Gary Gordon , Kellie J. MacPhee , Charles Vincent

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging…

Sampling-based motion planners perform exceptionally well in robotic applications that operate in high-dimensional space. However, most works often constrain the planning workspace rooted at some fixed locations, do not adaptively reason on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Tin Lai

Ensemble methods such as random forests have transformed the landscape of supervised learning, offering highly accurate prediction through the aggregation of multiple weak learners. However, despite their effectiveness, these methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Massimo Aria , Agostino Gnasso , Carmela Iorio , Marjolein Fokkema

Classification is essential to the applications in the field of data mining, artificial intelligence, and fault detection. There exists a strong need in developing accurate, suitable, and efficient classification methods and algorithms with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Yingtao Ren , Xiaomin Zhu , Kaiyuan Bai , Runtong Zhang

Canonical distances such as Euclidean distance often fail to capture the appropriate relationships between items, subsequently leading to subpar inference and prediction. Many algorithms have been proposed for automated learning of suitable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-24 Tyler M. Tomita , Joshua T. Vogelstein

We consider a model of random tree growth, where at each time unit a new vertex is added and attached to an already existing vertex chosen at random. The probability with which a vertex with degree $k$ is chosen is proportional to $w(k)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Rudas , Balint Toth , Benedek Valko

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

Random forests are considered one of the best out-of-the-box classification and regression algorithms due to their high level of predictive performance with relatively little tuning. Pairwise proximities can be computed from a trained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Jake S. Rhodes , Adele Cutler , Kevin R. Moon

We investigate popular resampling methods for estimating the uncertainty of statistical models, such as subsampling, bootstrap and the jackknife, and their performance in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks. We provide a tight…

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